J V RossSummaryAffiliation: University of Adelaide Country: Australia Publications
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Publications
 Contact tracing and antiviral prophylaxis in the early stages of a pandemic: the probability of a major outbreakJoshua V Ross
School of Mathematical Sciences, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide SA 5005, Australia
Math Med Biol 32:33143. 2015..A contacttracing efficiency of 50% would see further improvements with an outbreak being impossible approximately one in four times, and a reduction of the median probability of a major outbreak from 0.41 to below 0.27. ..  Epidemiological consequences of householdbased antiviral prophylaxis for pandemic influenzaAndrew J Black
Stochastic Modelling Group, School of Mathematical Sciences, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide, South Australia 5005, Australia
J R Soc Interface 10:20121019. 2013..Hence, effective control of pandemic influenza with antivirals is critically dependent on early detection and delivery ideally within 24 h...  Estimating a Markovian epidemic model using household serial interval data from the early phase of an epidemicAndrew J Black
School of Mathematical Sciences, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide, Australia
PLoS ONE 8:e73420. 2013..The output of our approach can be used to produce posterior distributions of population level epidemic characteristics. ..  Estimation of outbreak severity and transmissibility: Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 in householdsThomas House
Mathematics Institute, University of Warwick, Coventry, CV4 7AL, UK
BMC Med 10:117. 2012....  On parameter estimation in population models III: timeinhomogeneous processes and observation errorJ V Ross
Operations Research and Statistics Group, School of Mathematical Sciences, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide SA 5005, Australia
Theor Popul Biol 82:117. 2012....  Invasion of infectious diseases in finite homogeneous populationsJ V Ross
Operations Research and Statistics Group, School of Mathematical Sciences, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide SA 5005, Australia
J Theor Biol 289:839. 2011..As any individual interacts with a finite number of contacts during their infectious period, these results are important to the study of infectious disease dynamics...