Ronald Lee

Summary

Affiliation: University of California
Country: USA

Publications

  1. ncbi The evolution of transfers and life histories
    Ronald Lee
    Department of Demography, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, United States
    Exp Gerontol 47:803-6. 2012
  2. ncbi The outlook for population growth
    Ronald Lee
    Department of Demography, University of California at Berkeley, 2232 Piedmont Avenue, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA
    Science 333:569-73. 2011
  3. ncbi Some macroeconomic aspects of global population aging
    Ronald Lee
    Department of Demography and Economics, University of California, 2232 Piedmont Avenue, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA
    Demography 47:S151-72. 2010
  4. ncbi Sociality, selection, and survival: simulated evolution of mortality with intergenerational transfers and food sharing
    Ronald Lee
    Department of Demography, University of California, 2232 Piedmont Avenue, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA
    Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 105:7124-8. 2008
  5. ncbi Death and taxes: longer life, consumption, and social security
    R Lee
    University of California Berkeley 94720, USA
    Demography 34:67-81. 1997
  6. ncbi Rethinking the evolutionary theory of aging: transfers, not births, shape senescence in social species
    Ronald D Lee
    Department of Demography, University of California, 2232 Piedmont Avenue, Berkeley, CA 94720 2120, USA
    Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 100:9637-42. 2003
  7. ncbi Evaluating the performance of the Lee-Carter method for forecasting mortality
    R Lee
    Demography and Economics, University of California, 2232 Piedmont Ave, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA
    Demography 38:537-49. 2001
  8. ncbi An approach to forecasting health expenditures, with application to the U.S. Medicare system
    Ronald Lee
    University of California, Berkeley 94720, USA
    Health Serv Res 37:1365-86. 2002
  9. ncbi The co-evolution of intergenerational transfers and longevity: an optimal life history approach
    C Y Cyrus Chu
    Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica
    Theor Popul Biol 69:193-201. 2006
  10. ncbi Explaining the optimality of U-shaped age-specific mortality
    C Y Cyrus Chu
    Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica 128 Academia Road Sec 2, Nankang, Taipei, Taiwan
    Theor Popul Biol 73:171-80. 2008

Research Grants

  1. ECONOMIC DEMOGRAPHY OF INTER AGE TRANSFERS
    Ronald Lee; Fiscal Year: 2003
  2. CENTER ON THE ECONOMICS AND DEMOGRAPHY OF AGING
    Ronald Lee; Fiscal Year: 2007
  3. INTERDISCIPLINARY TRAINING IN DEMOGRAPHY
    Ronald Lee; Fiscal Year: 2007
  4. TRAINING IN THE DEMOGRAPHY AND ECONOMICS OF AGING
    Ronald Lee; Fiscal Year: 2007
  5. Macroeconomic Demography of Intergenerational Transfers
    Ronald Lee; Fiscal Year: 2007
  6. The Lee-Carter Method for Forecasting Mortality
    Ronald Lee; Fiscal Year: 2005

Collaborators

Detail Information

Publications10

  1. ncbi The evolution of transfers and life histories
    Ronald Lee
    Department of Demography, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, United States
    Exp Gerontol 47:803-6. 2012
    ....
  2. ncbi The outlook for population growth
    Ronald Lee
    Department of Demography, University of California at Berkeley, 2232 Piedmont Avenue, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA
    Science 333:569-73. 2011
    ..3 billion in 2050 and 10.1 billion in 2100, while the Old Age Dependency Ratio doubles by 2050 and triples by 2100. How are such population projections made, and how certain can we be about the trends they foresee?..
  3. ncbi Some macroeconomic aspects of global population aging
    Ronald Lee
    Department of Demography and Economics, University of California, 2232 Piedmont Avenue, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA
    Demography 47:S151-72. 2010
    ..We draw on estimates and analyses from the National Transfer Accounts project to illustrate and quantify these points...
  4. ncbi Sociality, selection, and survival: simulated evolution of mortality with intergenerational transfers and food sharing
    Ronald Lee
    Department of Demography, University of California, 2232 Piedmont Avenue, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA
    Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 105:7124-8. 2008
    ..Population-level food sharing with nonkin leads to the classic pattern of constant low mortality up to sexual maturity and no postreproductive survival...
  5. ncbi Death and taxes: longer life, consumption, and social security
    R Lee
    University of California Berkeley 94720, USA
    Demography 34:67-81. 1997
    ....
  6. ncbi Rethinking the evolutionary theory of aging: transfers, not births, shape senescence in social species
    Ronald D Lee
    Department of Demography, University of California, 2232 Piedmont Avenue, Berkeley, CA 94720 2120, USA
    Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 100:9637-42. 2003
    ..It also explains the evolution of lower fertility, longer life, and increased investments in offspring...
  7. ncbi Evaluating the performance of the Lee-Carter method for forecasting mortality
    R Lee
    Demography and Economics, University of California, 2232 Piedmont Ave, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA
    Demography 38:537-49. 2001
    ..Hypothetical projections for France, Sweden, Japan, and Canada would have done well. Changing age patterns of mortality decline over the century pose problems for the method...
  8. ncbi An approach to forecasting health expenditures, with application to the U.S. Medicare system
    Ronald Lee
    University of California, Berkeley 94720, USA
    Health Serv Res 37:1365-86. 2002
    ..The probabilistic model we present has several advantages over the high-low scenario approach to forecasting. It indicates great uncertainty about future Medicare expenditures relative to GDP...
  9. ncbi The co-evolution of intergenerational transfers and longevity: an optimal life history approach
    C Y Cyrus Chu
    Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica
    Theor Popul Biol 69:193-201. 2006
    ..We show that if such transfers are advantageous, then increased survival up to the age of making the transfers must co-evolve with the transfers themselves...
  10. ncbi Explaining the optimality of U-shaped age-specific mortality
    C Y Cyrus Chu
    Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica 128 Academia Road Sec 2, Nankang, Taipei, Taiwan
    Theor Popul Biol 73:171-80. 2008
    ..If energetic efficiency rises strongly with adult experience, then adult mortality could initially be flat or declining...

Research Grants11

  1. ECONOMIC DEMOGRAPHY OF INTER AGE TRANSFERS
    Ronald Lee; Fiscal Year: 2003
    ....
  2. CENTER ON THE ECONOMICS AND DEMOGRAPHY OF AGING
    Ronald Lee; Fiscal Year: 2007
    ..abstract_text> ..
  3. INTERDISCIPLINARY TRAINING IN DEMOGRAPHY
    Ronald Lee; Fiscal Year: 2007
    ..Sheps Award (for outstanding research in mathematical demography or demographic methods), a recipient of the John Bates Clark Medal (for the best economist under the age of 40), and holders of many others honors and awards. ..
  4. TRAINING IN THE DEMOGRAPHY AND ECONOMICS OF AGING
    Ronald Lee; Fiscal Year: 2007
    ..abstract_text> ..
  5. Macroeconomic Demography of Intergenerational Transfers
    Ronald Lee; Fiscal Year: 2007
    ..Parallel proposals with identical text, to be reviewed together, have been submitted by Lee at UC Berkeley and Mason at the East West Center in Hawaii. ..
  6. The Lee-Carter Method for Forecasting Mortality
    Ronald Lee; Fiscal Year: 2005
    ..Software will be produced to implement these procedures and made publicly available on a web site. Work will be closely coordinated with the Population Division of the United Nations to ensure that it meets its needs. ..