Derek A T Cummings

Summary

Affiliation: Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
Country: USA

Publications

  1. pmc The impact of the demographic transition on dengue in Thailand: insights from a statistical analysis and mathematical modeling
    Derek A T Cummings
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
    PLoS Med 6:e1000139. 2009
  2. pmc Evidence for antigenic seniority in influenza A (H3N2) antibody responses in southern China
    Justin Lessler
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
    PLoS Pathog 8:e1002802. 2012
  3. pmc Variability in dengue titer estimates from plaque reduction neutralization tests poses a challenge to epidemiological studies and vaccine development
    Henrik Salje
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
    PLoS Negl Trop Dis 8:e2952. 2014
  4. pmc Social mixing patterns in rural and urban areas of southern China
    Jonathan M Read
    Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Institute of Infection and Global Health, University of Liverpool, Leahurst Campus, Neston CH64 7TE, UK, Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA, School of Public Health, Imperial College, London, UK, Guangzhou No 12 Hospital, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510620, People s Republic of China, School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, People s Republic of China, Department of Microbiology, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, People s Republic of China, International Institute of Infection and Immunity, Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, Guangdong 515031, People s Republic of China
    Proc Biol Sci 281:20140268. 2014
  5. pmc Incubation periods of viral gastroenteritis: a systematic review
    Rachel M Lee
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, USA
    BMC Infect Dis 13:446. 2013
  6. doi request reprint Identifying the probable timing and setting of respiratory virus infections
    Justin Lessler
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, and the Department of Hospital Epidemiology and Infection Control, Johns Hopkins Hospital, Baltimore, Maryland 21205, USA
    Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol 31:809-15. 2010
  7. pmc Incubation periods of mosquito-borne viral infections: a systematic review
    Kara E Rudolph
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland
    Am J Trop Med Hyg 90:882-91. 2014
  8. pmc Synchrony of sylvatic dengue isolations: a multi-host, multi-vector SIR model of dengue virus transmission in Senegal
    Benjamin M Althouse
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
    PLoS Negl Trop Dis 6:e1928. 2012
  9. pmc Visualizing clinical evidence: citation networks for the incubation periods of respiratory viral infections
    Nicholas G Reich
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
    PLoS ONE 6:e19496. 2011
  10. ncbi request reprint Potential opportunities and perils of imperfect dengue vaccines
    Isabel Rodriguez-Barraquer
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University, 615 North Wolfe Street, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA
    Vaccine 32:514-20. 2014

Detail Information

Publications29

  1. pmc The impact of the demographic transition on dengue in Thailand: insights from a statistical analysis and mathematical modeling
    Derek A T Cummings
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
    PLoS Med 6:e1000139. 2009
    ..We propose that a demographic shift toward lower birth and death rates has reduced dengue transmission and lengthened the interval between large epidemics...
  2. pmc Evidence for antigenic seniority in influenza A (H3N2) antibody responses in southern China
    Justin Lessler
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
    PLoS Pathog 8:e1002802. 2012
    ....
  3. pmc Variability in dengue titer estimates from plaque reduction neutralization tests poses a challenge to epidemiological studies and vaccine development
    Henrik Salje
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
    PLoS Negl Trop Dis 8:e2952. 2014
    ..In addition there is limited standardization of the neutralization evaluation point or statistical model used to estimate titers across laboratories, with little understanding of the optimum approach...
  4. pmc Social mixing patterns in rural and urban areas of southern China
    Jonathan M Read
    Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Institute of Infection and Global Health, University of Liverpool, Leahurst Campus, Neston CH64 7TE, UK, Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA, School of Public Health, Imperial College, London, UK, Guangzhou No 12 Hospital, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510620, People s Republic of China, School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, People s Republic of China, Department of Microbiology, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, People s Republic of China, International Institute of Infection and Immunity, Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, Guangdong 515031, People s Republic of China
    Proc Biol Sci 281:20140268. 2014
    ..These results can improve mathematical models of infectious disease emergence, spread and control in southern China and throughout the region. ..
  5. pmc Incubation periods of viral gastroenteritis: a systematic review
    Rachel M Lee
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, USA
    BMC Infect Dis 13:446. 2013
    ....
  6. doi request reprint Identifying the probable timing and setting of respiratory virus infections
    Justin Lessler
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, and the Department of Hospital Epidemiology and Infection Control, Johns Hopkins Hospital, Baltimore, Maryland 21205, USA
    Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol 31:809-15. 2010
    ..Show how detailed incubation period estimates can be used to identify and investigate potential healthcare-associated infections and dangerous diseases...
  7. pmc Incubation periods of mosquito-borne viral infections: a systematic review
    Kara E Rudolph
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland
    Am J Trop Med Hyg 90:882-91. 2014
    ..We include bootstrapped 95% confidence intervals for each estimate. For West Nile and yellow fever viruses, we also estimate the 5th and 95th percentiles of their incubation periods...
  8. pmc Synchrony of sylvatic dengue isolations: a multi-host, multi-vector SIR model of dengue virus transmission in Senegal
    Benjamin M Althouse
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
    PLoS Negl Trop Dis 6:e1928. 2012
    ..Thus, we conclude that the eight-year period separating amplifications of dengue may be explained by cycling in immunity with stochastic introductions...
  9. pmc Visualizing clinical evidence: citation networks for the incubation periods of respiratory viral infections
    Nicholas G Reich
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
    PLoS ONE 6:e19496. 2011
    ..More standardized and widely available methods for visualizing these histories of medical evidence are needed to ensure that conventional wisdom cannot stray too far from empirically supported knowledge...
  10. ncbi request reprint Potential opportunities and perils of imperfect dengue vaccines
    Isabel Rodriguez-Barraquer
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University, 615 North Wolfe Street, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA
    Vaccine 32:514-20. 2014
    ..Our results show that a partially effective vaccine can have significant impacts on serotype distribution and mean age of cases. ..
  11. pmc Variation in dengue virus plaque reduction neutralization testing: systematic review and pooled analysis
    Kaitlin Rainwater-Lovett
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
    BMC Infect Dis 12:233. 2012
    ....
  12. pmc Revealing the microscale spatial signature of dengue transmission and immunity in an urban population
    Henrik Salje
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA
    Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 109:9535-8. 2012
    ..These methods have broad applications to studying the spatiotemporal structure of disease risk where pathogen serotype or genetic information is known...
  13. doi request reprint Household transmission of influenza A and B in a school-based study of non-pharmaceutical interventions
    Andrew S Azman
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
    Epidemics 5:181-6. 2013
    ..Though our results suggest a potential effect, we found no statistically significant effect of school-based non-pharmaceutical interventions on transmission in symptomatic children's homes. ..
  14. ncbi request reprint Estimating absolute and relative case fatality ratios from infectious disease surveillance data
    Nicholas G Reich
    Division of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Massachusetts 01002, USA
    Biometrics 68:598-606. 2012
    ..However, in certain situations, the methods presented here can help identify vulnerable subpopulations early in an outbreak of an emerging pathogen such as pandemic influenza...
  15. pmc Transmissibility of swine flu at Fort Dix, 1976
    Justin Lessler
    Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA
    J R Soc Interface 4:755-62. 2007
    ..6-3.8 days), and that the virus had at least six serial human to human transmissions. This places the transmissibility of A/New Jersey/76 virus at the lower end of circulating flu strains, well below the threshold for control...
  16. pmc Prediction of dengue incidence using search query surveillance
    Benjamin M Althouse
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
    PLoS Negl Trop Dis 5:e1258. 2011
    ..This approach may be more successful for dengue which has large variation in annual incidence and a more distinctive clinical presentation and mode of transmission...
  17. pmc Location-specific patterns of exposure to recent pre-pandemic strains of influenza A in southern China
    Justin Lessler
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public, Health, Baltimore, Maryland 21205, USA
    Nat Commun 2:423. 2011
    ..These results suggest there are characteristics of communities that drive influenza transmission dynamics apart from individual and household level risk factors, and that such factors have effects independent of strain...
  18. doi request reprint Incubation periods of acute respiratory viral infections: a systematic review
    Justin Lessler
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
    Lancet Infect Dis 9:291-300. 2009
    ..Our estimates combine published data to give the detail necessary for these and other applications...
  19. doi request reprint Outbreak of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) at a New York City school
    Justin Lessler
    Department of Epidemiology, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA
    N Engl J Med 361:2628-36. 2009
    ..In April 2009, an outbreak of novel swine-origin influenza A (2009 H1N1 influenza) occurred at a high school in Queens, New York. We describe the outbreak and characterize the clinical and epidemiologic aspects of this novel virus...
  20. pmc Breaking the symmetry: immune enhancement increases persistence of dengue viruses in the presence of asymmetric transmission rates
    Luis Mier-y-Teran-Romero
    Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, 615 North Wolfe Street, Baltimore, Maryland 21205, USA
    J Theor Biol 332:203-10. 2013
    ....
  21. pmc H1N1pdm in the Americas
    Justin Lessler
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, 615 N Wolfe St, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA
    Epidemics 2:132-8. 2010
    ..To the extent that latitude is a proxy for seasonal changes in climate and behavior, this association suggests a strong seasonal component to H1N1pdm transmission. However, the reasons for this seasonality remain unclear...
  22. pmc The role of viral introductions in sustaining community-based HIV epidemics in rural Uganda: evidence from spatial clustering, phylogenetics, and egocentric transmission models
    Mary K Grabowski
    Department of Epidemiology, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
    PLoS Med 11:e1001610. 2014
    ....
  23. pmc Menstrual cycle and detectable human papillomavirus in reproductive-age women: a time series study
    Su Hsun Liu
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland
    J Infect Dis 208:1404-15. 2013
    ..Current evidence on the relationship between human papillomavirus (HPV) DNA detection and menstrual cycle has been inconsistent...
  24. pmc The incubation period of cholera: a systematic review
    Andrew S Azman
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA
    J Infect 66:432-8. 2013
    ..Here we characterize the distribution of cholera's incubation period...
  25. pmc From re-emergence to hyperendemicity: the natural history of the dengue epidemic in Brazil
    Isabel Rodriguez-Barraquer
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
    PLoS Negl Trop Dis 5:e935. 2011
    ..While previously the majority of DHF cases occurred among adults, in 2007 53% of cases occurred in children under 15 years old. The reasons for this shift have not been determined...
  26. doi request reprint Estimating incubation period distributions with coarse data
    Nicholas G Reich
    Department of Biostatistics, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA
    Stat Med 28:2769-84. 2009
    ..However for estimation of the tails of the distribution, the doubly interval-censored analysis is the recommended procedure...
  27. pmc Measuring the performance of vaccination programs using cross-sectional surveys: a likelihood framework and retrospective analysis
    Justin Lessler
    Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America
    PLoS Med 8:e1001110. 2011
    ..We describe a method that estimates the fraction of the population accessible to vaccination activities, as well as within-campaign inefficiencies, thus providing a consistent estimate of vaccination coverage...
  28. ncbi request reprint Individual-based computational modeling of smallpox epidemic control strategies
    Donald S Burke
    Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, 615 North Wolfe Street, Room E5527, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA
    Acad Emerg Med 13:1142-9. 2006
    ....