Research Topics
| D T GilbertSummaryAffiliation: Harvard University Country: USA Publications
Research Grants
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Detail Information
Publications
Prospection: experiencing the futureDaniel T Gilbert
Department of Psychology, 33 Kirkland Street, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA
Science 317:1351-4. 2007..Scientists are beginning to understand how the brain simulates future events, how it uses those simulations to predict an event's hedonic consequences, and why these predictions so often go awry...
Decisions and revisions: the affective forecasting of changeable outcomesDaniel T Gilbert
Department of Psychology, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02138, USA
J Pers Soc Psychol 82:503-14. 2002..The results demonstrate that errors in affective forecasting can lead people to behave in ways that do not optimize their happiness and well-being...
Immune neglect: a source of durability bias in affective forecastingD T Gilbert
Department of Psychology, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02138, USA
J Pers Soc Psychol 75:617-38. 1998..The present experiments suggest that people neglect the psychological immune system when making affective forecasts...
The illusion of external agencyD T Gilbert
Department of Psychology, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02138, USA
J Pers Soc Psychol 79:690-700. 2000..These results suggest that belief in omniscient, omnipotent, and benevolent external agents, such as God, may derive in part from people's failure to recognize that they have generated their own satisfaction...
The momentary realistD T Gilbert
Department of Psychology, William James Hall, 33 Kirkland St, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA
Psychol Sci 11:394-8. 2000..The results are discussed in terms of correction models of human judgment...
Focalism: a source of durability bias in affective forecastingT D Wilson
Department of Psychology, University of Virginia, Charlottesville 22903, USA
J Pers Soc Psychol 78:821-36. 2000..The authors discuss the implications of focalism for other literatures, such as the planning fallacy...
Mispredicting the hedonic benefits of segregated gainsCarey K Morewedge
Woodrow Wilson School, Princeton University, Princeton, MA 02138, USA
J Exp Psychol Gen 136:700-9. 2007..Segregation of small gains decreased rather than increased hedonic benefit. These experiments suggest that people may underestimate the value of the hedonic limen and thus may oversegregate small gains...
The surprising power of neighborly adviceDaniel T Gilbert
Department of Psychology, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA
Science 323:1617-9. 2009..Both participants and independent judges mistakenly believed that predictions based on information about the event would be more accurate than predictions based on information about how another person had reacted to it...
Why the brain talks to itself: sources of error in emotional predictionDaniel T Gilbert
Department of Psychology, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA
Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 364:1335-41. 2009..Research shows that this process leads to systematic errors of prediction. We review evidence indicating that these errors can be traced to five sources...
A wandering mind is an unhappy mindMatthew A Killingsworth
Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA
Science 330:932. 2010....
Medial prefrontal cortex predicts intertemporal choiceJason P Mitchell
Department of Psychology, Harvard University, Northwest Science Building, 52 Oxford Street, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA
J Cogn Neurosci 23:857-66. 2011....
The least likely of times: how remembering the past biases forecasts of the futureCarey K Morewedge
Department of Psychology, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA
Psychol Sci 16:626-30. 2005..The results suggest that the impact bias (the tendency to overestimate the affective impact of future events) may be due in part to people's reliance on highly available but unrepresentative memories of the past...
Location, location, location: the misprediction of satisfaction in housing lotteriesElizabeth W Dunn
Department of Psychology, University of Virginia, 102 Gilmer Hall, PO Box 400400, Charlottesville, VA 22904 4400, USA
Pers Soc Psychol Bull 29:1421-32. 2003....
The peculiar longevity of things not so badDaniel T Gilbert
Harvard University, USA
Psychol Sci 15:14-9. 2004..These errors of prediction are discussed as instances of a more general phenomenon known as the region-beta paradox...
Looking forward to looking backward: the misprediction of regretDaniel T Gilbert
Department of Psychology, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA
Psychol Sci 15:346-50. 2004..These results suggest that people are less susceptible to regret than they imagine, and that decision makers who pay to avoid future regrets may be buying emotional insurance that they do not actually need...
When to fire: anticipatory versus postevent reconstrual of uncontrollable eventsTimothy D Wilson
Department of Psychology, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22904, USA
Pers Soc Psychol Bull 30:340-51. 2004..Forecasters predicted that loosing would make them feel worse than it did and selected a higher dose of a drug to cope with an anticipated loss than did people who actually lost...
It's a wonderful life: mentally subtracting positive events improves people's affective states, contrary to their affective forecastsMinkyung Koo
Department of Psychology, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22904 4400, USA
J Pers Soc Psychol 95:1217-24. 2008..The authors discuss the implications of these findings for the literatures on gratitude induction and counterfactual reasoning...
Anticipating one's troubles: the costs and benefits of negative expectationsSarit A Golub
Department of Psychology, Hunter College, CUNY, USA
Emotion 9:277-81. 2009..These results suggest that anticipating one's troubles may be a poor strategy for maximizing positive affect...
The paradoxical consequences of revengeKevin M Carlsmith
Department of Psychology, Colgate University, Hamilton, NY 13346, USA
J Pers Soc Psychol 95:1316-24. 2008....
Expect the unexpected: failure to anticipate similarities leads to an intergroup forecasting errorRobyn K Mallett
Department of Psychology, Loyola University Chicago, Chicago, IL 60626 5385, USA
J Pers Soc Psychol 94:265-77. 2008..Regardless of focus, Whites expected to have pleasant intragroup interactions, and they were accurate (Study 4)...
Do amnesics exhibit cognitive dissonance reduction? The role of explicit memory and attention in attitude changeM D Lieberman
Department of Psychology, Franz Hall, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095 1563, USA
Psychol Sci 12:135-40. 2001..Using a free-choice paradigm, we found that both amnesics and normal participants under cognitive load showed as much attitude change as did control participants...
OverhelpingD T Gilbert
Department of Psychology, University of Texas at Austin 78712, USA
J Pers Soc Psychol 70:678-90. 1996..The results point to an intervention principle that predicts how and when people may most effectively influence a performance so as to shape observer's inferences about the performer...
The pleasures of uncertainty: prolonging positive moods in ways people do not anticipateTimothy D Wilson
Department of Psychology, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22904 4400, USA
J Pers Soc Psychol 88:5-21. 2005..Forecasters seemed unaware of this paradox; they overwhelmingly preferred to be in the certain conditions and tended to predict that they would be in better moods in these conditions...
The feeling of uncertainty intensifies affective reactionsYoav Bar-Anan
Department of Psychology, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22904 4400, USA
Emotion 9:123-7. 2009..As predicted, the subjective feeling of uncertainty intensified people's affective reactions to the film clips...
Loss aversion is an affective forecasting errorDeborah A Kermer
University of Virginia, USA
Psychol Sci 17:649-53. 2006..The asymmetrical impact of losses and gains was thus more a property of affective forecasts than a property of affective experience...
Research Grants
- AFFECTIVE FORECASTINGDaniel Gilbert; Fiscal Year: 2001....
- AFFECTIVE FORECASTINGDaniel Gilbert; Fiscal Year: 2006..Finally, studies on "The Pleasures of Uncertainty" and "Reinvigorating Past Pleasures" deals with people's forecasts and experiences of positive events. ..
