Research Topics
| H G WelchSummaryAffiliation: Dartmouth Medical School Country: USA Publications
Research Grants
| Collaborators
|
Detail Information
Publications
Skin biopsy rates and incidence of melanoma: population based ecological studyH Gilbert Welch
VA Outcomes Group, Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
BMJ 331:481. 2005..To describe changes in skin biopsy rates and to determine their relation with changes in the incidence of melanoma...
Overdiagnosis in cancerH Gilbert Welch
Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
J Natl Cancer Inst 102:605-13. 2010..Equally important, researchers need to work to develop better estimates of the magnitude of overdiagnosis and develop clinical strategies to help minimize it...
Repeat testing among Medicare beneficiariesH Gilbert Welch
Dartmouth Institute for Health Policy and Clinical Practice, Dartmouth College, Hanover, New Hampshire 03766, USA
Arch Intern Med 172:1745-51. 2012..Although the tendency to repeat examinations is a major determinant of the capacity to serve new patients and of the ability to contain health care costs, little research has described the patterns observed in actual practice...
Are deaths within 1 month of cancer-directed surgery attributed to cancer?H Gilbert Welch
International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France
J Natl Cancer Inst 94:1066-70. 2002..How cause of death is attributed in patients who die within 1 month of cancer-directed surgery is unknown...
Presumed benefit: lessons from the American experience with marrow transplantation for breast cancerH Gilbert Welch
VA Outcomes Group (111B, Department of Veterans Affairs, White River Junction, VT 05009 USA
BMJ 324:1088-92. 2002
Prostate cancer diagnosis and treatment after the introduction of prostate-specific antigen screening: 1986-2005H Gilbert Welch
VA Outcomes Group 111B, Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
J Natl Cancer Inst 101:1325-9. 2009..Systematic estimates of the number of men affected, however, to our knowledge, do not exist...
Teaching evidence-based medicine: caveats and challengesH G Welch
Dartmouth Medical School, Hanover, New Hampshire, USA
Acad Med 75:235-40. 2000..evidence? Should they teach students that the burden of proof lies in demonstrating efficacy or in demonstrating ineffectiveness? And what should they tell students about when to seek evidence to aid diagnostic and treatment decisions?..
The exaggerated relations between diet, body weight and mortality: the case for a categorical data approachH Gilbert Welch
VA Outcomes Group, Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
CMAJ 172:891-5. 2005
Detection of prostate cancer via biopsy in the Medicare-SEER population during the PSA eraH Gilbert Welch
VA Outcomes Group 111B, Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
J Natl Cancer Inst 99:1395-400. 2007..We sought national estimates on the proportion of men found to have prostate cancer after a needle biopsy of the prostate and the risk of subsequent biopsies among those not found to have prostate cancer...
Geographic variation in diagnosis frequency and risk of death among Medicare beneficiariesH Gilbert Welch
Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, Vermont, USA
JAMA 305:1113-8. 2011..Because diagnosis is typically thought of as purely a patient attribute, it is considered a critical factor in risk-adjustment policies designed to reward efficient and high-quality care...
Likelihood that a woman with screen-detected breast cancer has had her "life saved" by that screeningH Gilbert Welch
Dartmouth Institute for Health Policy and Clinical Practice, Dartmouth College, Hanover, New Hampshire, USA
Arch Intern Med 171:2043-6. 2011..quot; Because other possibilities exist, we sought to determine how often lives were actually saved by mammography screening...
Prostate-specific antigen levels in the United States: implications of various definitions for abnormalH Gilbert Welch
VA Outcomes Group, Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
J Natl Cancer Inst 97:1132-7. 2005..5 ng/mL. We examined the effect of this lower threshold on the number of American men who would be labeled abnormal by a single PSA test...
US women's attitudes to false positive mammography results and detection of ductal carcinoma in situ: cross sectional surveyL M Schwartz
Veterans Administration Outcomes Group 111B, Veterans Administration Medical Center, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
BMJ 320:1635-40. 2000..To determine women's attitudes to and knowledge of both false positive mammography results and the detection of ductal carcinoma in situ after screening mammography...
Women's understanding of the mammography screening debateS Woloshin
Veterans Affairs Outcomes Group, Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
Arch Intern Med 160:1434-40. 2000..The fractious public debate over mammography screening recommendations for women aged 40 to 49 years has received extensive attention in medical journals and in the press...
Women's perceptions of breast cancer risk: how you ask mattersS Woloshin
Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, VA Outcomes Group, White River Junction, Vermont 05009, USA
Med Decis Making 19:221-9. 1999..To understand better how women perceive the chance of getting breast cancer, the authors asked women to estimate the risk in several ways. Each woman's answer was related to her actual risk...
Women's views on breast cancer risk and screening mammography: a qualitative interview studyE Silverman
VA Outcomes Group, Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, Vermont 05009, USA
Med Decis Making 21:231-40. 2001..The exaggerated importance many attribute to a variety of controllable factors in modifying personal risk and the "danger" seen in failing to have mammograms may lead women diagnosed with breast cancer to blame themselves...
US women's attitudes to false-positive mammography results and detection of ductal carcinoma in situ: cross-sectional surveyL M Schwartz
Veterans Affairs Outcomes Group 111B, Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
West J Med 173:307-12. 2000..To determine women's attitudes and knowledge of both false-positive mammography results and the detection of ductal carcinoma in situ after screening mammography...
Diagnostic testing following fecal occult blood screening in the elderlyJ D Lurie
Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, VT
J Natl Cancer Inst 91:1641-6. 1999..We evaluated the pattern of diagnostic testing following the initial FOBT in elderly Medicare beneficiaries. Such follow-up testing would in the long run influence both the cost and the benefit of widespread use of FOBT...
Risk charts: putting cancer in contextSteven Woloshin
Veterans Affairs Outcomes Group, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
J Natl Cancer Inst 94:799-804. 2002
The risk of death by age, sex, and smoking status in the United States: putting health risks in contextSteven Woloshin
The Veterans Affairs Outcomes Group 111B, Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
J Natl Cancer Inst 100:845-53. 2008..Unfortunately, this fundamental information is not readily available to patients or physicians. We created simple one-page charts that present the 10-year chance of dying from various causes according to age, sex, and smoking status...
Tobacco money: up in smoke?Steven Woloshin
Veterans Affairs Outcomes Group, Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
Lancet 359:2108-11. 2002
Current antibiotic therapy for isolated urinary tract infections in womenAlexander J Kallen
VA Outcomes Group, VA Medical Center, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
Arch Intern Med 166:635-9. 2006..However, increasing sulfa resistance among Escherichia coli may have led to changes in prescribing practices...
Regional variations in health care intensity and physician perceptions of quality of careBrenda E Sirovich
Veterans Affairs Medical Center Outcomes Group, White River Junction, Vermont 05009, USA
Ann Intern Med 144:641-9. 2006....
Increasing incidence of thyroid cancer in the United States, 1973-2002Louise Davies
VA Outcomes Group, Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
JAMA 295:2164-7. 2006..Changes in the diagnostic approach to thyroid nodules may have resulted in an increase in the apparent incidence of thyroid cancer...
Patients and medical statistics. Interest, confidence, and abilitySteven Woloshin
The VA Outcomes Group 111B, Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
J Gen Intern Med 20:996-1000. 2005..People are increasingly presented with medical statistics. There are no existing measures to assess their level of interest or confidence in using medical statistics...
Epidemiology of head and neck cancer in the United StatesLouise Davies
VA Outcomes Group, Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
Otolaryngol Head Neck Surg 135:451-7. 2006..Cancer rates of the head and neck are traditionally linked to public health issues...
The increasing incidence of small thyroid cancers: where are the cases coming from?Louise Davies
VA Outcomes Group, Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, Vermont, USA
Laryngoscope 120:2446-51. 2010..To identify the trigger events that lead to the detection of otherwise asymptomatic thyroid cancers...
Rates of postpartum glucose testing after gestational diabetes mellitusMichelle A Russell
Brown Medical School, Women and Infants Hospital, Providence, Rhode Island, USA
Obstet Gynecol 108:1456-62. 2006..To estimate rates of postpartum glucose tolerance testing in women diagnosed with gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) and to assess factors associated with testing...
Trends in the use of the pulmonary artery catheter in the United States, 1993-2004Renda Soylemez Wiener
Veterans Affairs Outcomes Group, Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, Vermont, USA
JAMA 298:423-9. 2007..Although there is now substantial evidence that pulmonary artery (PA) catheterization does not reduce mortality in critically ill patients, it is unknown whether national utilization has decreased in response...
Esophageal adenocarcinoma incidence: are we reaching the peak?Heiko Pohl
The VA Outcomes Group, Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, Vermont 05009, USA
Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 19:1468-70. 2010..A steep increase in the incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma has been observed between 1973 and 2001, but recent trends have not been reported. Our aim was to examine recent trends in esophageal adenocarcinoma incidence...
Thyroid cancer survival in the United States: observational data from 1973 to 2005Louise Davies
VA Outcomes Group, Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, Vermont 05009, USA
Arch Otolaryngol Head Neck Surg 136:440-4. 2010..To compare the survival rate of people with papillary thyroid cancer limited to the thyroid gland who have not had immediate, definitive treatment for their thyroid cancer with the survival rate of those who have had such treatment...
Can patients interpret health information? An assessment of the medical data interpretation testLisa M Schwartz
VA Outcomes Group, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
Med Decis Making 25:290-300. 2005..To establish the reliability/validity of an 18-item test of patients' medical data interpretation skills...
The frequency of Pap smear screening in the United StatesBrenda E Sirovich
VA Outcomes Group 111B, Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, VT 50009, USA
J Gen Intern Med 19:243-50. 2004..There are no data, however, regarding the frequency at which women actually undergo screening...
Cervical cancer screening among women without a cervixBrenda E Sirovich
VA Outcomes Group, Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, VT, USA
JAMA 291:2990-3. 2004..In 1996, the US Preventive Services Task Force recommended that routine Papanicolaou (Pap) smear screening is unnecessary for these women...
Hospital volume and surgical mortality in the United StatesJohn D Birkmeyer
Veterans Affairs Outcomes Group, Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
N Engl J Med 346:1128-37. 2002..Although numerous studies suggest that there is an inverse relation between hospital volume of surgical procedures and surgical mortality, the relative importance of hospital volume in various surgical procedures is disputed...
The value of benefit data in direct-to-consumer drug adsSteven Woloshin
Veterans Affairs Outcomes Group, White River Junction, Vermont, USA
Health Aff (Millwood) . 2004..Perceptions of drug effectiveness were much lower for ads that incorporated the benefit box than for ads that did not. Most people we interviewed want benefit data in drug ads, can understand these data, and are influenced by them...
The role of overdiagnosis and reclassification in the marked increase of esophageal adenocarcinoma incidenceHeiko Pohl
VA Outcomes Group 111B, Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, VT 0500, USA
J Natl Cancer Inst 97:142-6. 2005....
Variation in the tendency of primary care physicians to interveneBrenda E Sirovich
VA Outcomes Group, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
Arch Intern Med 165:2252-6. 2005..We sought to measure the tendency of primary care physicians to intervene across regions that differ in their levels of local health care spending...
Advertising by academic medical centersRobin J Larson
VA Outcomes Group, Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
Arch Intern Med 165:645-51. 2005..We aimed to characterize advertising by the nation's top academic medical centers...
Surgical mortality as an indicator of hospital quality: the problem with small sample sizeJustin B Dimick
VA Outcomes Group, Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
JAMA 292:847-51. 2004..Surgical mortality rates are increasingly used to measure hospital quality. It is not clear, however, how many hospitals have sufficient caseloads to reliably identify quality problems...
Celebrity endorsements of cancer screeningRobin J Larson
VA Outcomes Group, Department of Veteran Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
J Natl Cancer Inst 97:693-5. 2005..At least one-fourth of respondents who had seen or heard a celebrity endorsement said that the endorsement made them more likely to undergo mammography (25%), PSA testing (31%), or sigmoidoscopy or colonoscopy (37%)...
Estimating the impact of adding C-reactive protein as a criterion for lipid lowering treatment in the United StatesSteven Woloshin
VA Outcomes Group, White River Junction, VT, USA
J Gen Intern Med 22:197-204. 2007..There is growing interest in using C-reactive protein (CRP) levels to help select patients for lipid lowering therapy--although this practice is not yet supported by evidence of benefit in a randomized trial...
Overstating the evidence for lung cancer screening: the International Early Lung Cancer Action Program (I-ELCAP) studyH Gilbert Welch
VA Outcomes Group, White River Junction VA Medical Center, 215 N Main St, VA Outcomes Group, 11B, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
Arch Intern Med 167:2289-95. 2007....
The natural history of invasive breast cancers detected by screening mammographyPer Henrik Zahl
VA Outcomes Group, Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
Arch Intern Med 168:2311-6. 2008..The introduction of screening mammography has been associated with sustained increases in breast cancer incidence. The natural history of these screen-detected cancers is not well understood...
The zero mortality paradox in surgeryJustin B Dimick
VA Outcomes Group, Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
J Am Coll Surg 206:13-6. 2008..We sought to determine if hospitals with zero mortality over 3 years also have lower than average mortality in the subsequent year...
The drug facts box: providing consumers with simple tabular data on drug benefit and harmLisa M Schwartz
VA Outcomes Group, Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
Med Decis Making 27:655-62. 2007..Requiring ads to include a table with data on drug benefits and side effects (derived from clinical trials) could help, provided that consumers understand such tabular information...
Enthusiasm for cancer screening in the United StatesLisa M Schwartz
VA Outcomes Group, White River Junction, VT, University of Massachusetts, Boston, USA
JAMA 291:71-8. 2004..This enthusiasm creates an environment ripe for the premature diffusion of technologies such as total-body computed tomographic scanning, placing the public at risk of overtesting and overtreatment...
Telephone care as an adjunct to routine medical follow-up. A negative randomized trialH G Welch
Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, VT, USA
Eff Clin Pract 3:123-30. 2000..In 1992, a randomized trial at one outpatient clinic demonstrated that making telephone appointments part of routine medical follow-up could save money and reduce hospitalization...
The effectiveness of a primer to help people understand risk: two randomized trials in distinct populationsSteven Woloshin
Veterans Affairs Outcomes Group, White River Junction, Vermont 05009, USA
Ann Intern Med 146:256-65. 2007..Although many studies document problems with understanding risk information, few assess ways to teach interpretation skills...
Ratio measures in leading medical journals: structured review of accessibility of underlying absolute risksLisa M Schwartz
Veteran Affairs Outcomes Group, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
BMJ 333:1248. 2006..0, 2.1 to 4.3). CONCLUSION: Absolute risks are often not easily accessible in articles reporting ratio measures and sometimes are missing altogether-this lack of accessibility can easily exaggerate readers' perceptions of benefit or harm...
Racial disparities in abdominal aortic aneurysm repair among male Medicare beneficiariesChad T Wilson
VA Outcomes Group 111B, Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, 215 N Main St, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
Arch Surg 143:506-10. 2008..We examine this assumption by determining the relative rate (RR) of elective AAA repair in black men vs white men after accounting for differences in disease prevalence...
Setting the revisit interval in primary careL M Schwartz
VA Outcomes Group, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
J Gen Intern Med 14:230-5. 1999..Patient factors accounted for only a small part of this variation. Although physicians responded to visits in predictable ways, each physician appeared to have a unique set point for the length of the revisits interval...
The role of patients and providers in the timing of follow-up visits. Telephone Care Study GroupH G Welch
VA Outcomes Group, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
J Gen Intern Med 14:223-9. 1999..These may, in turn, reflect the local "culture" in which they practice. How many patients providers are able to care for may be determined by the providers' inclinations toward the timing of follow-up visits...
Is language a barrier to the use of preventive services?S Woloshin
VA Outcomes Group, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
J Gen Intern Med 12:472-7. 1997..To isolate the effect of spoken language from financial barriers to care, we examined the relation of language to use of preventive services in a system with universal access...
Meeting walk-in patients' expectations for testing. Effects on satisfactionG W Froehlich
Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
J Gen Intern Med 11:470-4. 1996..Physicians who order tests solely to improve patient satisfaction may be able to reduce unnecessary testing without decreasing patient satisfaction...
Using the results of a baseline and a surveillance colonoscopy to predict recurrent adenomas with high-risk characteristicsDouglas J Robertson
Veterans Affairs Outcomes Group, Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Section of Gastroenterology, White River Junction, Vermont 05009, USA
Ann Intern Med 151:103-9. 2009..Suggested intervals for postpolypectomy surveillance colonoscopy are currently based on the adenoma findings from the most recent examination...
Implications of expanding disease definitions: the case of osteoporosisM Brooke Herndon
Dartmouth Medical School, USA
Health Aff (Millwood) 26:1702-11. 2007..6 million to 4.0 million among women ages 50-64 (at a net cost of at least $18 billion). Whether or not offering treatment to these additional women will reduce the number of hip fractures is unknown...
Risk for increased utilization and adverse health outcomes among men served by the Veterans Health AdministrationRobin J Larson
VA Outcomes Group, Department of Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, VT 05009, USA
Mil Med 172:690-6. 2007....
Right and wrong reasons to be screenedH Gilbert Welch
Ann Intern Med 140:754-5. 2004
The sea of uncertainty surrounding ductal carcinoma in situ--the price of screening mammographyH Gilbert Welch
J Natl Cancer Inst 100:228-9. 2008
Ramifications of screening for breast cancer: 1 in 4 cancers detected by mammography are pseudocancersH Gilbert Welch
BMJ 332:727. 2006
All-cause mortality in randomized trials of cancer screeningWilliam C Black
Department of Radiology, Dartmouth Hitchcock Medical Center, Lebanon, NH 03756, USA
J Natl Cancer Inst 94:167-73. 2002..We compared disease-specific and all-cause mortality in published randomized cancer-screening trials to indirectly assess the validity of the disease-specific mortality end point...
U.S. trends in CABG hospital volume: the effect of adding cardiac surgery programsChad T Wilson
Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, USA
Health Aff (Millwood) 26:162-8. 2007..An unintended consequence of starting new cardiac surgery programs is declining CABG hospital volume--a side effect that might increase mortality...
Search and destroy--the right cancer strategy for Europeans?H Gilbert Welch
Eur J Cancer 41:660-3. 2005
State newborn screening in the tandem mass spectrometry era: more tests, more false-positive resultsBeth A Tarini
Robert Wood Johnson Clinical Scholars Program, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
Pediatrics 118:448-56. 2006..It is not known how state newborn screening programs have changed screening practices in response to this technology and how it affects the number of false-positive test results...
Statins and the risk of colorectal cancerH Gilbert Welch
N Engl J Med 353:952-4; author reply 952-4. 2005
Research Grants
- Assessing Treatment-Related Harms in Prostate CancerH Welch; Fiscal Year: 2007..The entire process will be repeated on a cohort of men who receive a transurethral resection of the prostate. ..
