Gerardo Chowell

Summary

Affiliation: Arizona State University
Country: USA

Publications

  1. pmc The spatial and temporal patterns of falciparum and vivax malaria in Perú: 1994-2006
    Gerardo Chowell
    Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Sciences Center, School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona, USA
    Malar J 8:142. 2009
  2. ncbi request reprint Spatial-temporal excess mortality patterns of the 1918-1919 influenza pandemic in Spain
    Gerardo Chowell
    Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA
    BMC Infect Dis 14:371. 2014
  3. pmc Heat-related deaths in hot cities: estimates of human tolerance to high temperature thresholds
    Sharon L Harlan
    School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287, USA
    Int J Environ Res Public Health 11:3304-26. 2014
  4. ncbi request reprint The basic reproduction number R0 and effectiveness of reactive interventions during dengue epidemics: the 2002 dengue outbreak in Easter Island, Chile
    Gerardo Chowell
    Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Sciences Center, School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Box 872402, Tempe, AZ 85287, United States
    Math Biosci Eng 10:1455-74. 2013
  5. pmc Transmission potential of influenza A/H7N9, February to May 2013, China
    Gerardo Chowell
    Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, 31 Center Dr, MSC 2220, Bethesda 20892 2220, Maryland, USA
    BMC Med 11:214. 2013
  6. ncbi request reprint From the guest editors
    Gerardo Chowell
    Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Sciences Center, School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Box 872402, Tempe, AZ 85287, United States
    Math Biosci Eng 10:i-xxiv. 2013
  7. pmc The age distribution of mortality due to influenza: pandemic and peri-pandemic
    Tom Reichert
    Entropy Research Institute, 345 S, Great Road, Lincoln, 01773, Massachusetts, USA
    BMC Med 10:162. 2012
  8. pmc A practical method to target individuals for outbreak detection and control
    Gerardo Chowell
    Mathematical and Computational Modeling Sciences Center, School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USA
    BMC Med 11:36. 2013
  9. pmc Modeling rapidly disseminating infectious disease during mass gatherings
    Gerardo Chowell
    School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, 900 S Cady Mall, Tempe, AZ 85287 2402, USA
    BMC Med 10:159. 2012
  10. pmc The influence of climatic conditions on the transmission dynamics of the 2009 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic in Chile
    Gerardo Chowell
    Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Sciences Center, School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USA
    BMC Infect Dis 12:298. 2012

Detail Information

Publications35

  1. pmc The spatial and temporal patterns of falciparum and vivax malaria in Perú: 1994-2006
    Gerardo Chowell
    Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Sciences Center, School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona, USA
    Malar J 8:142. 2009
    ....
  2. ncbi request reprint Spatial-temporal excess mortality patterns of the 1918-1919 influenza pandemic in Spain
    Gerardo Chowell
    Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA
    BMC Infect Dis 14:371. 2014
    ..Here we analyzed the spatial-temporal mortality patterns of the 1918 influenza pandemic in Spain, one of the countries of Europe that experienced the highest mortality burden...
  3. pmc Heat-related deaths in hot cities: estimates of human tolerance to high temperature thresholds
    Sharon L Harlan
    School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287, USA
    Int J Environ Res Public Health 11:3304-26. 2014
    ....
  4. ncbi request reprint The basic reproduction number R0 and effectiveness of reactive interventions during dengue epidemics: the 2002 dengue outbreak in Easter Island, Chile
    Gerardo Chowell
    Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Sciences Center, School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Box 872402, Tempe, AZ 85287, United States
    Math Biosci Eng 10:1455-74. 2013
    ..Our results indicate that the rapid implementation of control interventions can have a significant effect in reducing the epidemic size of dengue epidemics. ..
  5. pmc Transmission potential of influenza A/H7N9, February to May 2013, China
    Gerardo Chowell
    Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, 31 Center Dr, MSC 2220, Bethesda 20892 2220, Maryland, USA
    BMC Med 11:214. 2013
    ..Here we compare the transmission potential of influenza A/H7N9 with that of other emerging pathogens and evaluate the impact of intervention measures in an effort to guide pandemic preparedness...
  6. ncbi request reprint From the guest editors
    Gerardo Chowell
    Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Sciences Center, School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Box 872402, Tempe, AZ 85287, United States
    Math Biosci Eng 10:i-xxiv. 2013
    ..The CBMS workshop '' Mathematical Epidemiology with Applications'' lectures delivered by C. Castillo-Chavez and F. Brauer in 2011 have been published by SIAM in 2013. ..
  7. pmc The age distribution of mortality due to influenza: pandemic and peri-pandemic
    Tom Reichert
    Entropy Research Institute, 345 S, Great Road, Lincoln, 01773, Massachusetts, USA
    BMC Med 10:162. 2012
    ..Pandemic influenza is said to 'shift mortality' to younger age groups; but also to spare a subpopulation of the elderly population. Does one of these effects dominate? Might this have important ramifications?..
  8. pmc A practical method to target individuals for outbreak detection and control
    Gerardo Chowell
    Mathematical and Computational Modeling Sciences Center, School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USA
    BMC Med 11:36. 2013
    ..See related research article here http://www.biomedcentral.com/1741-7015/11/35...
  9. pmc Modeling rapidly disseminating infectious disease during mass gatherings
    Gerardo Chowell
    School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, 900 S Cady Mall, Tempe, AZ 85287 2402, USA
    BMC Med 10:159. 2012
    ....
  10. pmc The influence of climatic conditions on the transmission dynamics of the 2009 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic in Chile
    Gerardo Chowell
    Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Sciences Center, School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USA
    BMC Infect Dis 12:298. 2012
    ..Here we analyzed the spatial, age and temporal evolution of the 2009 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic in Chile, a southern hemisphere country covering a long and narrow strip comprising latitudes 17°S to 56°S...
  11. pmc Toward unbiased assessment of treatment and prevention: modeling household transmission of pandemic influenza
    Gerardo Chowell
    School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USA
    BMC Med 10:118. 2012
    ..See related article: http://www.biomedcentral.com/1741-7015/10/117...
  12. pmc Risk factors for mortality among 2009 A/H1N1 influenza hospitalizations in Maricopa County, Arizona, April 2009 to March 2010
    G Chowell
    School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287, USA
    Comput Math Methods Med 2012:914196. 2012
    ..3; 95%CI: 1.3, 14.8), immuno-suppression (OR = 4.0; 95% CI: 1.84, 8.9), and admission delays (OR = 4.6; 95% CI: 2.2, 9.5) were significantly associated with an increased the risk of death among A/H1N1 inpatients...
  13. pmc Impact of antiviral treatment and hospital admission delay on risk of death associated with 2009 A/H1N1 pandemic influenza in Mexico
    Gerardo Chowell
    Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Sciences Center, School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USA
    BMC Infect Dis 12:97. 2012
    ..In particular, we quantify the association between disease severity, hospital admission delays, and neuraminidase inhibitor use by demographic characteristics, pandemic wave, and geographic regions of Mexico...
  14. pmc Epidemiological characteristics and underlying risk factors for mortality during the autumn 2009 pandemic wave in Mexico
    Gerardo Chowell
    Division of Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America
    PLoS ONE 7:e41069. 2012
    ..Elucidating the role of the underlying risk factors for severe outcomes of the 2009 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic could be crucial to define priority risk groups in resource-limited settings in future pandemics...
  15. pmc The 1918-19 influenza pandemic in Boyacá, Colombia
    Gerardo Chowell
    Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85282, USA
    Emerg Infect Dis 18:48-56. 2012
    ..In agreement with reports from Mexico, our study found no death-sparing effect for elderly persons in Colombia. We found regional disparities in prior immunity and timing of introduction of the 1918 pandemic virus across populations...
  16. pmc Pros and cons of estimating the reproduction number from early epidemic growth rate of influenza A (H1N1) 2009
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Honcho 4 1 8, Kawaguchi, Saitama, 332 0012, Japan
    Theor Biol Med Model 7:1. 2010
    ..The growth rate at the initial stage of the epidemic in Japan led to estimates for R in the range 2.0 to 2.6, capturing the intensity of the initial outbreak among school-age children in May 2009...
  17. pmc Mortality patterns associated with the 1918 influenza pandemic in Mexico: evidence for a spring herald wave and lack of preexisting immunity in older populations
    Gerardo Chowell
    Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Sciences Center, School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287, USA
    J Infect Dis 202:567-75. 2010
    ..Here, we compiled extensive archival records to quantify the pandemic mortality patterns in 2 Mexican cities, Mexico City and Toluca...
  18. pmc Spatial and temporal dynamics of dengue fever in Peru: 1994-2006
    G Chowell
    School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USA
    Epidemiol Infect 136:1667-77. 2008
    ....
  19. pmc Adaptive vaccination strategies to mitigate pandemic influenza: Mexico as a case study
    Gerardo Chowell
    Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Sciences Center, School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona, United States of America
    PLoS ONE 4:e8164. 2009
    ..We explore vaccination strategies against pandemic influenza in Mexico using an age-structured transmission model calibrated against local epidemiological data from the Spring 2009 A(H1N1) pandemic...
  20. pmc The 1918-1920 influenza pandemic in Peru
    G Chowell
    Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Sciences Center, School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287, USA
    Vaccine 29:B21-6. 2011
    ....
  21. pmc Spatial and temporal characteristics of the 2009 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic in Peru
    Gerardo Chowell
    Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Sciences Center, School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona, United States of America
    PLoS ONE 6:e21287. 2011
    ..There is little information about the spatial-temporal dynamics of pandemic influenza in South America. Here we provide a quantitative description of the age-specific morbidity pandemic patterns across administrative areas of Peru...
  22. pmc The influence of geographic and climate factors on the timing of dengue epidemics in Perú, 1994-2008
    Gerardo Chowell
    Mathematical and Computational Modeling Sciences Center, School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USA
    BMC Infect Dis 11:164. 2011
    ..Increasing our understanding of the heterogeneous transmission patterns of dengue at different spatial scales could have considerable public health value by guiding intervention strategies...
  23. pmc The reproduction number of seasonal influenza epidemics in Brazil, 1996-2006
    Gerardo Chowell
    Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Sciences Center, School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USA
    Proc Biol Sci 277:1857-66. 2010
    ..Additional epidemiological and genetic studies are warranted to further characterize the dynamics of influenza in the tropics and refine our understanding of the global circulation of influenza viruses...
  24. pmc Characterizing the epidemiology of the 2009 influenza A/H1N1 pandemic in Mexico
    Gerardo Chowell
    Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Sciences Center, School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona, United States of America
    PLoS Med 8:e1000436. 2011
    ..In this study we analyzed the epidemiological patterns of the pandemic during April-December 2009 in Mexico and evaluated the impact of nonmedical interventions, school cycles, and demographic factors on influenza transmission...
  25. pmc Mortality burden of the A/H1N1 pandemic in Mexico: a comparison of deaths and years of life lost to seasonal influenza
    Vivek Charu
    Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, 16 Center Drive, Bethesda, MD 20892, USA
    Clin Infect Dis 53:985-93. 2011
    ..Here, we compare excess mortality rates and years of life lost (YLL) for pandemic and seasonal influenza in Mexico and evaluate laboratory-confirmed death reports...
  26. pmc Influenza-related mortality trends in Japanese and American seniors: evidence for the indirect mortality benefits of vaccinating schoolchildren
    Vivek Charu
    Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America
    PLoS ONE 6:e26282. 2011
    ..Here we characterize the indirect mortality benefits of vaccinating schoolchildren based on data from Japan and the US...
  27. pmc A data-driven mathematical model of CA-MRSA transmission among age groups: evaluating the effect of control interventions
    Xiaoxia Wang
    Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Sciences Center, School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona, United States of America
    PLoS Comput Biol 9:e1003328. 2013
    ..In contrast, our results suggest that decolonization strategies targeting the pediatric population colonized with CA-MRSA have the potential of achieving disease elimination...
  28. pmc The 1918-1919 influenza pandemic in England and Wales: spatial patterns in transmissibility and mortality impact
    Gerardo Chowell
    School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287, USA
    Proc Biol Sci 275:501-9. 2008
    ..Further studies of the geographical mortality patterns associated with the 1918-1919 influenza pandemic may be useful for pandemic planning...
  29. pmc A population based study of seasonality of skin and soft tissue infections: implications for the spread of CA-MRSA
    Xiaoxia Wang
    Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Sciences Center, School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USA
    PLoS ONE 8:e60872. 2013
    ..We also found a significant correlation between the temporal variation in SSTI incidence and mean temperature and specific humidity. Our findings could have potential implications on prevention and control efforts against CA-MRSA...
  30. doi request reprint Severe respiratory disease concurrent with the circulation of H1N1 influenza
    Gerardo Chowell
    Division of Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA
    N Engl J Med 361:674-9. 2009
    ..The analysis of epidemic pneumonia in the absence of routine diagnostic tests can provide information about risk factors for severe disease from this virus and prospects for its control...
  31. doi request reprint Modeling optimal age-specific vaccination strategies against pandemic influenza
    Sunmi Lee
    Mathematical and Computational Modeling Sciences Center, School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85282, USA
    Bull Math Biol 74:958-80. 2012
    ..Our results indicate that optimal age-specific vaccination rates are significantly associated with [Formula: see text], the amount of vaccines available and the timing of vaccination...
  32. ncbi request reprint Optimal control for pandemic influenza: the role of limited antiviral treatment and isolation
    Sunmi Lee
    Mathematical and Computational Modeling Sciences Center, School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, PO Box 871904, Tempe, AZ 85287, USA
    J Theor Biol 265:136-50. 2010
    ..The role of isolation strategies is highlighted in this study particularly when access to antiviral resources is limited...
  33. doi request reprint Transmission dynamics and underreporting of Kala-azar in the Indian state of Bihar
    Anuj Mubayi
    Mathematical and Computational Modeling Sciences Center, Arizona State University, USA
    J Theor Biol 262:177-85. 2010
    ..In fact, seven (2003) and five (2005) of the most affected Kala-azar districts had been classified as low-risk when only reported incidence data were used...
  34. pmc Adaptive human behavior in epidemiological models
    Eli P Fenichel
    School of Life Sciences and ecoSERVICES Group, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287 4501, USA
    Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 108:6306-11. 2011
    ..Acknowledging adaptive behavior requires a shift in thinking about epidemiological processes and parameters...
  35. doi request reprint Preface
    Carlos Castillo-Chavez
    Mathematical, Computational, and Modeling Sciences Center, Physical Sciences A, P O Box, 871904, Tempe, AZ 85287 1904, United States
    Math Biosci Eng 8:i-vi. 2011
    ..The global reach of this novel strain became evident when a summer influenza incidence high was reached in Japan by May 16, 2009 [2, 4] just about a month after its identification in the New World...