Steven Riley


Affiliation: Imperial College
Country: UK


  1. Riley S, Kwok K, Wu K, Ning D, Cowling B, Wu J, et al. Epidemiological characteristics of 2009 (H1N1) pandemic influenza based on paired sera from a longitudinal community cohort study. PLoS Med. 2011;8:e1000442 pubmed publisher
    ..Many individuals, of all ages, remained susceptible to H1N1pdm after the main 2009 wave in Hong Kong. Please see later in the article for the Editors' Summary. ..
  2. Riley S, Eames K, Isham V, Mollison D, Trapman P. Five challenges for spatial epidemic models. Epidemics. 2015;10:68-71 pubmed publisher
  3. Kwok K, Read J, Tang A, Chen H, Riley S, Kam K. A systematic review of transmission dynamic studies of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus in non-hospital residential facilities. BMC Infect Dis. 2018;18:188 pubmed publisher
    ..Future models should be ready to cope with the aging population structure. ..
  4. Eames K, Bansal S, Frost S, Riley S. Six challenges in measuring contact networks for use in modelling. Epidemics. 2015;10:72-7 pubmed publisher
    ..Finally, we consider the privacy and ethical issues surrounding the collection of contact network data. ..
  5. Pinsent A, Fraser C, Ferguson N, Riley S. A systematic review of reported reassortant viral lineages of influenza A. BMC Infect Dis. 2016;16:3 pubmed publisher
  6. Yuan H, Baguelin M, Kwok K, Arinaminpathy N, van Leeuwen E, Riley S. The impact of stratified immunity on the transmission dynamics of influenza. Epidemics. 2017;20:84-93 pubmed publisher
    ..Overall, our results suggest that stratified immunity in an aged-structured heterogeneous population plays a significant role in determining the shape of influenza epidemics. ..
  7. Wu K, Riley S. Simulation-guided design of serological surveys of the cumulative incidence of influenza infection. BMC Infect Dis. 2014;14:505 pubmed publisher
    ..Dilution protocols more highly resolved than serial 2-fold dilution should be considered for serological surveys. ..
  8. Nouvellet P, Cori A, Garske T, Blake I, Dorigatti I, Hinsley W, et al. A simple approach to measure transmissibility and forecast incidence. Epidemics. 2018;22:29-35 pubmed publisher
  9. Kwok K, Riley S, Perera R, Wei V, Wu P, Wei L, et al. Relative incidence and individual-level severity of seasonal influenza A H3N2 compared with 2009 pandemic H1N1. BMC Infect Dis. 2017;17:337 pubmed publisher
    ..Infection-based estimates of individual-level severity have a role in assessing emerging strains; updating seasonal vaccine components; and optimizing of vaccination programs. ..

More Information


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    Riley S, Fraser C, Donnelly C, Ghani A, Abu Raddad L, Hedley A, et al. Transmission dynamics of the etiological agent of SARS in Hong Kong: impact of public health interventions. Science. 2003;300:1961-6 pubmed
    ..We estimate that most currently infected persons are now hospitalized, which highlights the importance of control of nosocomial transmission. ..
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    Riley S, Donnelly C, Ferguson N. Robust parameter estimation techniques for stochastic within-host macroparasite models. J Theor Biol. 2003;225:419-30 pubmed
    ..This indicates that the observed aggregation of parasite load may be dynamically generated by random variation in the development of an effective immune response against parasite larvae...