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emerging communicable diseases
Fraser C, Riley S, Anderson R, Ferguson N. Factors that make an infectious disease outbreak controllable. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2004;101:6146-51
..Direct estimation of the proportion of asymptomatic and presymptomatic infections is achievable by contact tracing and should be a priority during an outbreak of a novel infectious agent. ..
Fraser C, Alm E, Polz M, Spratt B, Hanage W. The bacterial species challenge: making sense of genetic and ecological diversity. Science. 2009;323:741-6
..The resulting data may help to discriminate among the many theories of prokaryotic species that have been produced to date. ..
Fraser C, Cummings D, Klinkenberg D, Burke D, Ferguson N. Influenza transmission in households during the 1918 pandemic. Am J Epidemiol. 2011;174:505-14
..Together, these analyses demonstrate that the 1918 influenza virus, though highly virulent, was only moderately transmissible and thus in a modern context would be considered controllable. ..
Pinsent A, Fraser C, Ferguson N, Riley S. A systematic review of reported reassortant viral lineages of influenza A. BMC Infect Dis. 2016;16:3
Hanage W, Fraser C, Spratt B. Fuzzy species among recombinogenic bacteria. BMC Biol. 2005;3:6
Brian G Spratt
William Paul Hanage
Neil M Ferguson
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