Research Topics
| Christl A DonnellySummaryAffiliation: Imperial College Country: UK Publications
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Publications
A comparative epidemiologic analysis of SARS in Hong Kong, Beijing and TaiwanEric H Y Lau
School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong
BMC Infect Dis 10:50. 2010..The aim of this study is to identify similarities and differences in SARS epidemiology in three populations with similar host and viral genotype...
Late-acting dominant lethal genetic systems and mosquito controlHoang Kim Phuc
Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, South Parks Road, Oxford, UK
BMC Biol 5:11. 2007..Additionally, vector populations with strong density-dependent effects will tend to be resistant to SIT-based control as the population-reducing effect of induced sterility will tend to be offset by reduced density-dependent mortality...
Impacts of widespread badger culling on cattle tuberculosis: concluding analyses from a large-scale field trialChristl A Donnelly
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, UK
Int J Infect Dis 11:300-8. 2007..Failure to control the infection has been linked to transmission from European badgers; badger culling has therefore formed a component of British TB control policy since 1973...
Epidemiological determinants of spread of causal agent of severe acute respiratory syndrome in Hong KongChristl A Donnelly
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College, London, UK
Lancet 361:1761-6. 2003..We assessed the epidemiology of SARS in Hong Kong...
Positive and negative effects of widespread badger culling on tuberculosis in cattleChristl A Donnelly
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, St Mary s Campus, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, UK
Nature 439:843-6. 2006..These findings are biologically consistent with previous studies but will present challenges for policy development...
Gender difference in HIV-1 RNA viral loadsC A Donnelly
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
HIV Med 6:170-8. 2005..To test and characterize the dependence of viral load on gender in different countries and racial groups as a function of CD4 T-cell count...
Serial intervals and the temporal distribution of secondary infections within households of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1): implications for influenza control recommendationsChristl A Donnelly
Medical Research Council Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
Clin Infect Dis 52:S123-30. 2011..Only 5% of transmission events were estimated to take place >3 days after the onset of clinical symptoms among those ill with pH1N1 virus. These results will inform future recommendations on duration of isolation of individuals with ILI...
Extending backcalculation to analyse BSE dataC A Donnelly
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College, London, UK
Stat Methods Med Res 12:177-90. 2003..Finally, future directions of epidemiological analysis of BSE epidemics are discussed taking into account ongoing developments in the science of BSE and possible changes in BSE-related policies...
Impact of localized badger culling on tuberculosis incidence in British cattleChristl A Donnelly
Independent Scientific Group on Cattle TB, c o Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, 1A Page Street, London SW1P 4PQ, UK
Nature 426:834-7. 2003..Here we present results from a large-scale field trial that indicate that localized badger culling not only fails to control but also seems to increase TB incidence in cattle...
Epidemiological and genetic analysis of severe acute respiratory syndromeChristl A Donnelly
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College, London, UK
Lancet Infect Dis 4:672-83. 2004....
Transmission dynamics of the etiological agent of SARS in Hong Kong: impact of public health interventionsSteven Riley
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, Exhibition Road, London SW7 2AZ, UK
Science 300:1961-6. 2003..We estimate that most currently infected persons are now hospitalized, which highlights the importance of control of nosocomial transmission...
Evolution in a multi-host parasite: chronobiological circadian rhythm and population genetics of Schistosoma japonicum cercariae indicates contrasting definitive host reservoirs by habitatDa Bing Lu
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, UK
Int J Parasitol 39:1581-8. 2009..Such parasite diversity could, in turn, provide an explanation for the different infection scenarios observed between the two regions, and hence have important applied implications in terms of targeted control of key reservoirs...
Epidemiology, transmission dynamics and control of SARS: the 2002-2003 epidemicRoy M Anderson
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, St Mary s Campus, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, UK
Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 359:1091-105. 2004..These lessons learnt from the SARS experience are presented in an epidemiological and public health context...
The impact of single versus mixed schistosome species infections on liver, spleen and bladder morbidity within Malian children pre- and post-praziquantel treatmentArtemis Koukounari
Schistosomiasis Control Initiative, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, UK
BMC Infect Dis 10:227. 2010..Mixed infections might generate synergistic or antagonistic interactions and thereby clinically affect individuals and/or impact parasite epidemiology...
Transmission of Schistosoma japonicum in marshland and hilly regions of China: parasite population genetic and sibship structureDa Bing Lu
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College, London, UK
PLoS Negl Trop Dis 4:e781. 2010..Such results suggest a different transmission process within the hilly region from within the marshlands. Moreover, this is the first time that the sibling relationship analysis was applied to the transmission dynamics for S. japonicum...
The duration of the effects of repeated widespread badger culling on cattle tuberculosis following the cessation of cullingHelen E Jenkins
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
PLoS ONE 5:e9090. 2010..However, a full assessment of the utility of badger culling requires information on the duration of culling effects...
Short-term projections for variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease onsetsAzra C Ghani
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College, London, UK
Stat Methods Med Res 12:191-201. 2003..These results demonstrate the continued uncertainty in the future scale of this disease...
Factors determining the pattern of the variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (vCJD) epidemic in the UKAzra C Ghani
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, UK
Proc Biol Sci 270:689-98. 2003....
Public health. Public health risk from the avian H5N1 influenza epidemicNeil M Ferguson
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, St. Mary's Campus, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, UK
Science 304:968-9. 2004
Integrated monitoring and evaluation and environmental risk factors for urogenital schistosomiasis and active trachoma in Burkina Faso before preventative chemotherapy using sentinel sitesArtemis Koukounari
Schistosomiasis Control Initiative, Department of Infectious Diseases Epidemiology, St Mary s Campus, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, UK
BMC Infect Dis 11:191. 2011....
Household transmission of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus in the United StatesSimon Cauchemez
Medical Research Council Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London
N Engl J Med 361:2619-27. 2009..Risk factors for transmission remain largely uncharacterized. We characterize the risk factors and describe the transmission of the virus within households...
Implications of BSE infection screening data for the scale of the British BSE epidemic and current European infection levelsChristl A Donnelly
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College of Science, Technology and Medicine, St Mary s Campus, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, UK
Proc Biol Sci 269:2179-90. 2002..Infection incidence for cattle born after mid-1996 was highest in Greece, Italy and Belgium, with Spain and The Netherlands having intermediate levels, and estimates for Great Britain, Germany and France being comparably low...
Monitoring trends in HIV prevalence among young people, aged 15 to 24 years, in Manicaland, ZimbabweKimberly A Marsh
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, UK
J Int AIDS Soc 14:27. 2011..Changes in socio-demographic characteristics and reported sexual behaviour are investigated...
Implications of a circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus in NigeriaHelen E Jenkins
Medical Research Council Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
N Engl J Med 362:2360-9. 2010....
Contrasting reservoirs for Schistosoma japonicum between marshland and hilly regions in Anhui, China--a two-year longitudinal parasitological surveyDa Bing Lu
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, UK
Parasitology 137:99-110. 2010..Such results may have implications for the current human- and bovine-oriented control policy for this medically and veterinarily important disease, particularly within the hilly regions of mainland China...
Evaluating the proximate determinants framework for HIV infection in rural ZimbabweJames J C Lewis
London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK
Sex Transm Infect 83:i61-69. 2007..One suggested solution has been a proximate determinants framework, in which risk factors are grouped into "underlying", "proximate" and "biological" determinants...
Schistosoma haematobium infection and morbidity before and after large-scale administration of praziquantel in Burkina FasoArtemis Koukounari
Schistosomiasis Control Initiative, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, W2 1PG, United Kingdom
J Infect Dis 196:659-69. 2007..In sub-Saharan Africa, 112 million people are infected with Schistosoma haematobium, with the most intense infections in children 5-15 years old...
Viral replication under combination antiretroviral therapy: a comparison of four different regimensAzra C Ghani
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College of Science, Technology and Medicine, London, UK
J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr 30:167-76. 2002..04; 95% CI, 1.0-1.07). Measurement of viral load after approximately 7 days provided the most accurate measure of the degree of viral suppression induced by a given drug regimen...
Localized reactive badger culling increases risk of bovine tuberculosis in nearby cattle herdsFlavie Vial
MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, UK
Biol Lett 8:50-3. 2012..Such findings may partly explain why some earlier localized approaches to bTB control were ineffective...
Updated projections of future vCJD deaths in the UKAzra C Ghani
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College of Science, Technology and Medicine, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, UK
BMC Infect Dis 3:4. 2003..However, recent vCJD case data have indicated a decrease in the annual incidence of deaths over the past two years...
The effects of annual widespread badger culls on cattle tuberculosis following the cessation of cullingHelen E Jenkins
MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, UK
Int J Infect Dis 12:457-65. 2008....
Comparison of the risks of atherosclerotic events versus death from other causes associated with antiretroviral useGrace P S Kwong
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, UK
AIDS 20:1941-50. 2006..Traditional cardiac risk factors play an important role in determining AtD risk status...
A statistical model of the international spread of wild poliovirus in Africa used to predict and prevent outbreaksKathleen M O'Reilly
Medical Research Council Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
PLoS Med 8:e1001109. 2011..A quantitative understanding of the factors that predict the distribution and timing of outbreaks will enable their prevention and facilitate the completion of global eradication...
Assessment of ultrasound morbidity indicators of schistosomiasis in the context of large-scale programs illustrated with experiences from Malian childrenArtemis Koukounari
Schistosomiasis Control Initiative, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
Am J Trop Med Hyg 75:1042-52. 2006..mansoni infection. We conclude that ultrasonography should be included in large-scale control interventions, where logistics allow, but cautiously...
Assessment of the risk posed by bovine spongiform encephalopathy in cattle in Great Britain and the impact of potential changes to current control measuresNeil M Ferguson
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, St Mary s Campus, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, UK
Proc Biol Sci 270:1579-84. 2003..04 additional vCJD deaths over the next 60 years. However, there is substantial (more than 40-fold) uncertainty surrounding this estimate, the sources of which are discussed...
Bovine spongiform encephalopathy in the United States--an epidemiologist's viewChristl A Donnelly
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College, London
N Engl J Med 350:539-42. 2004
HIV-1 transmitting couples have similar viral load set-points in Rakai, UgandaT Deirdre Hollingsworth
MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
PLoS Pathog 6:e1000876. 2010..The most parsimonious explanation is that this is due to shared characteristics of the transmitted virus, a finding which sheds light on both the role of viral factors in HIV-1 pathogenesis and on the evolution of the virus...
Essential epidemiological mechanisms underpinning the transmission dynamics of seasonal influenzaJames Truscott
MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College, London W2 1PG, UK
J R Soc Interface 9:304-12. 2012..We discuss our findings in the context of other work fitting to seasonal influenza data...
The transmission dynamics of BSE and vCJDAzra C Ghani
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College of Science, Technology and Medicine St Mary s, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, UK
C R Biol 325:37-47. 2002..We also consider the epidemiological determinants of the future course of the vCJD epidemic, including the age and genetic characteristics of the confirmed cases, and present predictions of future case numbers...
Genetic diversity of Schistosoma japonicum miracidia from individual rodent hostsDa Bing Lu
Department of Epidemiology and Statistics, School of Public Health, Medical College of Soochow University, Suzhou 215123, China
Int J Parasitol 41:1371-6. 2011..japonicum compared with other schistosomes, were proposed to explain the observed results and practical implications for control strategies are recommended...
Sensitivities and specificities of diagnostic tests and infection prevalence of Schistosoma haematobium estimated from data on adults in villages northwest of Accra, GhanaArtemis Koukounari
Schistosomiasis Control Initiative, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College, London, United Kingdom
Am J Trop Med Hyg 80:435-41. 2009..Furthermore, microscopy and hematuria dipsticks were indicated through these models as the most appropriate techniques for detection of S. haematobium infection...
Pandemic potential of a strain of influenza A (H1N1): early findingsChristophe Fraser
MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, Faculty of Medicine, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, UK
Science 324:1557-61. 2009..Transmissibility is therefore substantially higher than that of seasonal flu, and comparable with lower estimates of R0 obtained from previous influenza pandemics...
Local cattle and badger populations affect the risk of confirmed tuberculosis in British cattle herdsFlavie Vial
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
PLoS ONE 6:e18058. 2011....
BSE in France: epidemiological analysis and predictionsChristl A Donnelly
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Division of Primary Care and Population Health Sciences, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, United Kingdom
C R Biol 325:793-806. 2002..The results reveal that thousands of French cattle were infected with BSE over the course of the epidemic. However, case incidence is predicted to decline in future years...
Robust parameter estimation techniques for stochastic within-host macroparasite modelsSteven Riley
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, St Mary s Campus, Norfolk Place, W2 1PG London, UK
J Theor Biol 225:419-30. 2003..This indicates that the observed aggregation of parasite load may be dynamically generated by random variation in the development of an effective immune response against parasite larvae...
Comparison of the effectiveness of non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor-containing and protease inhibitor-containing regimens using observational databasesA C Ghani
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College School of Medicine, London, UK
AIDS 15:1133-42. 2001..To compare the effectiveness of first protease inhibitor (PI)-containing and non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI)-containing regimens...
The prevalence, distribution and severity of detectable pathological lesions in badgers naturally infected with Mycobacterium bovisH E Jenkins
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
Epidemiol Infect 136:1350-61. 2008..However, the predominance of lesions in the respiratory tract indicates that most transmission occurs by the respiratory route...
Estimating the human health risk from possible BSE infection of the British sheep flockN M Ferguson
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College of Science, Technology and Medicine, St Mary s Campus, London, UK
Nature 415:420-4. 2002....
Herd-level risk factors associated with tuberculosis breakdowns among cattle herds in England before the 2001 foot-and-mouth disease epidemicW T Johnston
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, St Mary s Campus, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, UK
Biol Lett 1:53-6. 2005..Spreading artificial fertilizers or farmyard manure on grazing land were both associated with decreased risk. These first case-control results from the RBCT will be followed by similar analyses as more data become available...
Parasites as causative agents of human affective disorders? The impact of anti-psychotic, mood-stabilizer and anti-parasite medication on Toxoplasma gondii's ability to alter host behaviourJ P Webster
Department of Zoology, University of Oxford South Parks Road, Oxford OX1 3SY, UK
Proc Biol Sci 273:1023-30. 2006..gondii drugs in preventing such behavioural alterations. Our results have important implications regarding the aetiology and treatment of such disorders...
Patterns of uptake of treatment for self reported sexually transmitted infection symptoms in rural ZimbabweJ J C Lewis
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, Faculty of Medicine, St Mary s Campus, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, UK
Sex Transm Infect 81:326-32. 2005..To determine the extent of self reported symptoms perceived to be related to sexually transmitted infections and the patterns of subsequent treatment seeking behaviour in a predominantly rural population of Zimbabwe...
The development of an age-structured model for trachoma transmission dynamics, pathogenesis and controlManoj Gambhir
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
PLoS Negl Trop Dis 3:e462. 2009..We present an age-structured mathematical model of trachoma transmission and disease to predict the impact of interventions on the prevalence of blinding trachoma...
Low diversity Cryptococcus neoformans variety grubii multilocus sequence types from Thailand are consistent with an ancestral African originSitali P Simwami
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
PLoS Pathog 7:e1001343. 2011..96 - 27,177.76). Further high-density sampling of global Cng STs is now necessary to resolve the temporal sequence underlying the global emergence of this human pathogen...
The foot-and-mouth epidemic in Great Britain: pattern of spread and impact of interventionsN M Ferguson
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College School of Medicine, St Mary s Campus, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, UK
Science 292:1155-60. 2001..Culling is predicted to be more effective than vaccination...
Mathematical biology and medical statistics: contributions to the understanding of AIDS epidemiologyC A Donnelly
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College School of Medicine, St Mary s Campus, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, UK
Stat Methods Med Res 10:141-54. 2001..The different kinds of data involved are critically compared. Some studies of the incubation period are briefly reviewed and some comments made on the role of adherence to therapy...
Transmission intensity and impact of control policies on the foot and mouth epidemic in Great BritainN M Ferguson
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College of Science, Technology and Medicine, St Mary s Campus, London, UK
Nature 413:542-8. 2001....
Creating and validating an algorithm to measure AIDS mortality in the adult population using verbal autopsyBen A Lopman
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
PLoS Med 3:e312. 2006..A reliable tool that is independent of HIV status is needed for measuring the frequency of AIDS deaths and ultimately the impact of antiretroviral therapy on mortality...
Adherence to antiretroviral therapy and its impact on clinical outcome in HIV-infected patientsN M Ferguson
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, UK
J R Soc Interface 2:349-63. 2005....
Patterns of antiretroviral use in the United States of America: analysis of three observational databasesA C Ghani
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College of Science, Technology and Medicine, London, UK
HIV Med 4:24-32. 2003..To characterize patterns of antiretroviral use in HIV-infected patients and explore variation by patient characteristics and disease stage...
Surrogate markers for disease progression in treated HIV infectionA C Ghani
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College School of Science, Technology, and Medicine, London, UK
J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr 28:226-31. 2001..To characterize the relationships among highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART), HIV-1 RNA levels, immune system markers, and clinical outcome in a cohort of HIV-1-infected homosexual men...
Estimating risk over time using data from targeted surveillance systems: application to bovine tuberculosis in Great BritainIsobel M Blake
MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
Epidemics 4:179-86. 2012..We show that for an increasing underlying incidence trend, the current Defra approach can produce artefactual fluctuations whereas the alternative method described provides more accurate descriptions of the underlying risks over time...
Effectiveness of immunization against paralytic poliomyelitis in NigeriaHelen E Jenkins
Medical Research Council Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modeling, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
N Engl J Med 359:1666-74. 2008..Understanding the relative contribution of these vaccines and the improved coverage to the decline in incident cases is essential for future planning...
Beer halls as a focus for HIV prevention activities in rural ZimbabweJames J C Lewis
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College Faculty of Medicine, London, UK
Sex Transm Dis 32:364-9. 2005..The authors conducted an assessment of the role of beer halls in the HIV epidemic of rural Zimbabwe as part of the ongoing identification of risky places for the targeting of prevention activities...
Morbidity indicators of Schistosoma mansoni: relationship between infection and anemia in Ugandan schoolchildren before and after praziquantel and albendazole chemotherapyArtemis Koukounari
Schistosomiasis Control Initiative, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
Am J Trop Med Hyg 75:278-86. 2006..834 g/dL after treatment was found. Our results suggest that anemia is associated with schistosomiasis and hookworm in Ugandan children and that such anemia shows a significant improvement after chemotherapy...
Epidemiological analysis of data for scrapie in Great BritainT J Hagenaars
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, St Mary s Campus, Norfolk Place, London, UK
Epidemiol Infect 134:359-67. 2006..We show that the data analysed are consistent with the within-flock reproduction number of scrapie lying in the range 1.5-6, consistent with previous epidemiological studies...
Review of foot-and-mouth disease virus survival in animal excretions and on fomitesL M Bartley
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College, University of London, St Mary's Campus, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG
Vet Rec 151:667-9. 2002
Dynamics of a scrapie outbreak in a flock of Romanov sheep--estimation of transmission parametersT J Hagenaars
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, St Marys' Campus, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG
Epidemiol Infect 131:1015-22. 2003....
Spatial heterogeneity and the persistence of infectious diseasesT J Hagenaars
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, St Mary s Campus, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, UK
J Theor Biol 229:349-59. 2004..The observed patterns are interpreted in terms of rescue effects for strong spatial heterogeneity and in terms of between-patch coherence and synchronization effects at intermediate and weak levels of heterogeneity...
The seasonal pattern of dengue in endemic areas: mathematical models of mechanismsL M Bartley
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College, Faculty of Medicine, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, UK
Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg 96:387-97. 2002..It was changes in such parameters (vector biting and mortality rate) which caused seasonal prevalence, but the timing of peak prevalence was a result of time delays within the system...
Methods for estimating the case fatality ratio for a novel, emerging infectious diseaseA C Ghani
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
Am J Epidemiol 162:479-86. 2005..They demonstrate the importance of patient characteristics regarding outcome by analyzing subgroups defined by age at admission to the hospital...
Culling and cattle controls influence tuberculosis risk for badgersRosie Woodroffe
Department of Wildlife, Fish, and Conservation Biology, University of California Davis, One Shields Avenue, Davis, CA 95616, USA
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 103:14713-7. 2006..Our findings highlight the need for policymakers to consider multiple transmission routes when managing multihost pathogens...
Detecting emerging transmissibility of avian influenza virus in human householdsMichiel van Boven
Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands
PLoS Comput Biol 3:e145. 2007..We discuss the applicability of our method for the detection of emerging human-to-human transmission of avian influenza viruses in particular, and for the analysis of within-household infection data in general...
Non-parametric estimation of the case fatality ratio with competing risks data: an application to Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS)Nicholas P Jewell
Division of Biostatistics and Department of Statistics, University of California, Berkeley, USA
Stat Med 26:1982-98. 2007..These issues are investigated here for non-parametric estimators of F(1) and F(2). The ideas are illustrated on case fatality data for individuals infected with Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) in Hong Kong in 2003...
The epidemiology of severe acute respiratory syndrome in the 2003 Hong Kong epidemic: an analysis of all 1755 patientsGabriel M Leung
University of Hong Kong, Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, and Hong Kong Hospital Authority, Hong Kong, China
Ann Intern Med 141:662-73. 2004..CONCLUSIONS: This analysis of the complete data on the 2003 SARS epidemic in Hong Kong has revealed key epidemiologic features of the epidemic as it evolved...
Simple model for tuberculosis in cattle and badgersD R Cox
Nuffield College, New Road, Oxford OX1 1NF, United Kingdom
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 102:17588-93. 2005..1. The implications for controlling the disease are discussed...
Chicken welfare is influenced more by housing conditions than by stocking densityMarian Stamp Dawkins
Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, South Parks Road, Oxford OX1 3PS, UK
Nature 427:342-4. 2004..Our results show that differences among producers in the environment that they provide for chickens have more impact on welfare than has stocking density itself...
