Research Topics
| Marten SchefferSummaryAffiliation: Wageningen University Country: The Netherlands Publications
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Detail Information
Publications
Early-warning signals for critical transitionsMarten Scheffer
Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, PO Box 47, 6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands
Nature 461:53-9. 2009....
Thresholds for boreal biome transitionsMarten Scheffer
Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, NL 6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 109:21384-9. 2012..If our inferences are correct, climate change may invoke massive nonlinear shifts in boreal biomes...- Anticipating critical transitionsMarten Scheffer
Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, Post Office Box 47, NL 6700 AA Wageningen, Netherlands
Science 338:344-8. 2012..Although sudden shifts in complex systems will inevitably continue to surprise us, work at the crossroads of these emerging fields offers new approaches for anticipating critical transitions... - Self-organized similarity, the evolutionary emergence of groups of similar speciesMarten Scheffer
Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management Group, Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, P O Box 8080, 6700 DD, Wageningen, The Netherlands
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 103:6230-5. 2006.... - Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate changeVasilis Dakos
Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, P O Box 47, 6700 AA, Wageningen, The Netherlands
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 105:14308-12. 2008..Because tipping points in ecosystems and other complex systems are notoriously hard to predict in other ways, this is a promising perspective... - Methods for detecting early warnings of critical transitions in time series illustrated using simulated ecological dataVasilis Dakos
Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, Wageningen, The Netherlands
PLoS ONE 7:e41010. 2012..In addition to a methodological guide, our work offers a practical toolbox that may be used in a wide range of fields to help detect early warning signals of critical transitions in time series data... - Emergent neutrality leads to multimodal species abundance distributionsRemi Vergnon
Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management Group, Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, Lumen Building 100 Droevendaalsesteeg 3a, PO Box 47, Wageningen 6700 AA, The Netherlands
Nat Commun 3:663. 2012..Such self-organized similarity unifies niche and neutral theories of biodiversity... - Recovery rates reflect distance to a tipping point in a living systemAnnelies J Veraart
Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, PO Box 47, NL 6700 AA, Wageningen, The Netherlands
Nature 481:357-9. 2012..Although stochasticity prohibits prediction of the timing of critical transitions, our results suggest that indicators of slowing down may be used to rank complex systems on a broad scale from resilient to fragile... - The resilience and resistance of an ecosystem to a collapse of diversityAndrea S Downing
Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management Group, Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, The Netherlands
PLoS ONE 7:e46135. 2012..Our results emphasize the need for multiple approaches to studying the functioning of ecosystems, as managing an ecosystem requires understanding not only the threats it is vulnerable to but also pressures it appears resistant to... - Global resilience of tropical forest and savanna to critical transitionsMarina Hirota
Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, Wageningen, Netherlands
Science 334:232-5. 2011..These results allow the identification of regions where forest or savanna may most easily tip into an alternative state, and they pave the way to a new generation of coupled climate models... - Predicting microbial nitrogen pathways from basic principlesIngrid A van de Leemput
Department of Environmental Sciences, Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management Group, Wageningen University, Wageningen, The Netherlands
Environ Microbiol 13:1477-87. 2011..We hypothesize that some discrepancies can be explained by non-equilibrium dynamics. The model predicted a pathway that has not been discovered in nature yet: the dismutation of nitrite to the level of nitrate and dinitrogen gas... 
Lake and watershed characteristics rather than climate influence nutrient limitation in shallow lakesSarian Kosten
Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, P O Box 47, 6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands
Ecol Appl 19:1791-804. 2009..Furthermore, our data show that in a wide range of climates N limitation does not necessarily lead to cyanobacterial dominance...- Slowing down in spatially patterned ecosystems at the brink of collapseVasilis Dakos
Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, The Netherlands
Am Nat 177:E153-66. 2011..Our results illustrate that while critical slowing down may be a universal phenomenon at critical transitions, its detection through indirect indicators may have limitations in particular systems... - Robustness of variance and autocorrelation as indicators of critical slowing downVasilis Dakos
Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, P O Box 47, 6700AA Wageningen, The Netherlands
Ecology 93:264-71. 2012..To exemplify this point, we provide cases of rising autocorrelation and increasing or decreasing variance in time series prior to past climate transitions... - Info-disruption: pollution and the transfer of chemical information between organismsMiquel Lürling
Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management Group, Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, PO Box 8080, 6700 DD Wageningen, The Netherlands
Trends Ecol Evol 22:374-9. 2007..Similar to endocrine disruptors, these 'info disruptors' form a new class of chemical threats, which could have far-reaching implications for ecosystem functioning and conservation management... - Interannual variability in species composition explained as seasonally entrained chaosVasilis Dakos
Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, PO Box 47, 6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands
Proc Biol Sci 276:2871-80. 2009..Our results suggest that interannual variability in species composition is an intrinsic property of multi-species communities in seasonal environments... - Impacts of agricultural phosphorus use in catchments on shallow lake water quality: About buffers, time delays and equilibriaPeter Schippers
Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management Group, Wageningen University and Research Centre, PO Box 8080, 6700 DD Wageningen, The Netherlands
Sci Total Environ 369:280-94. 2006..7 kg P ha(-1) yr(-1). We present several simple equations that can be used to estimate the sustainable P surplus levels, buffer related time delays and equilibrium P concentrations in other catchment-lake systems... - Collapse and reorganization of a food web of Mwanza Gulf, Lake VictoriaAndrea S Downing
Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management Group, Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, P O Box 47, NL 6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands
Ecol Appl 22:229-39. 2012..By contrast, its intricate functional structure and associated biodiversity have proved to be fragile and seem unlikely to recover... - Warming can boost denitrification disproportionately due to altered oxygen dynamicsAnnelies J Veraart
Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, Wageningen, The Netherlands
PLoS ONE 6:e18508. 2011..Although several studies have reported increased denitrification rates with rising temperature, the impact of temperature on denitrification seems to vary widely between systems... - Large species shifts triggered by small forcesEgbert H Van Nes
Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, P O Box 8080, NL 6700 DD Wageningen, The Netherlands
Am Nat 164:255-66. 2004..Additionally, our results support the idea that ancient mass extinctions may partly be due to an intrinsic loss of stability of species configurations... - What minimal models cannot tell: a comment on "A model of phytoplankton blooms"Egbert H Van Nes
Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, P O Box 8080, NL 6700 DD Wageningen, The Netherlands
Am Nat 163:924-6; discussion 927-9. 2004..It cannot be used to reveal the relative importance of alternative explanations... - The angiosperm radiation revisited, an ecological explanation for Darwin's 'abominable mystery'Frank Berendse
Nature Conservation and Plant Ecology Group, Wageningen University, 6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands
Ecol Lett 12:865-72. 2009..Evidence for the possibility of such a critical transition to angiosperm dominance comes from recent work on large scale vegetation shifts, linking long-term field observations, large scale experiments and the use of simulation models... - Slow recovery from perturbations as a generic indicator of a nearby catastrophic shiftEgbert H Van Nes
Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, Wageningen, The Netherlands
Am Nat 169:738-47. 2007.... - Floating plant dominance as a stable stateMarten Scheffer
Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management Group, Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, P O Box 8080, 6700 DD, Wageningen, The Netherlands
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 100:4040-5. 2003..On the other hand, our results also suggest that a single drastic harvest of floating plants can induce a permanent shift to an alternative state dominated by rooted, submerged growth forms... - Can overwintering versus diapausing strategy in Daphnia determine match-mismatch events in zooplankton-algae interactions?Lisette N de Senerpont Domis
NIOO KNAW, Centre for Limnology, Rijksstraatweg 6, 3631 AC, Nieuwersluis, The Netherlands
Oecologia 150:682-98. 2007..Future research should point out whether lake depth is a direct causal factor in determining the presence of active overwintering daphnids or merely indicative for underlying causal factors such as fish predation and macrophyte cover... - Chaos in a long-term experiment with a plankton communityElisa Benincà
Aquatic Microbiology, Institute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics, University of Amsterdam, Nieuwe Achtergracht 127, 1018 WS Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Nature 451:822-5. 2008..This implies that stability is not required for the persistence of complex food webs, and that the long-term prediction of species abundances can be fundamentally impossible... - Adaptive management of the Great Barrier Reef and the Grand Canyon world heritage areasTerence P Hughes
Australian Research Council, Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University, Townsville, Australia
Ambio 36:586-92. 2007.... - Perpest model, a case-based reasoning approach to predict ecological risks of pesticidesPaul J Van den Brink
Alterra Green World Research, Wageningen University and Research Centre, The Netherlands
Environ Toxicol Chem 21:2500-6. 2002..This paper discusses the scientific background of the model as well as its strengths, limitations, and possible applications...