Marten Scheffer

Summary

Affiliation: Wageningen University
Country: The Netherlands

Publications

  1. doi request reprint Early-warning signals for critical transitions
    Marten Scheffer
    Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, PO Box 47, 6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands
    Nature 461:53-9. 2009
  2. pmc Migraine strikes as neuronal excitability reaches a tipping point
    Marten Scheffer
    Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, Wageningen, The Netherlands
    PLoS ONE 8:e72514. 2013
  3. pmc Thresholds for boreal biome transitions
    Marten Scheffer
    Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, NL 6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands
    Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 109:21384-9. 2012
  4. doi request reprint Anticipating critical transitions
    Marten Scheffer
    Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, Post Office Box 47, NL 6700 AA Wageningen, Netherlands
    Science 338:344-8. 2012
  5. pmc Self-organized similarity, the evolutionary emergence of groups of similar species
    Marten Scheffer
    Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management Group, Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, P O Box 8080, 6700 DD, Wageningen, The Netherlands
    Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 103:6230-5. 2006
  6. pmc Methods for detecting early warnings of critical transitions in time series illustrated using simulated ecological data
    Vasilis Dakos
    Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, Wageningen, The Netherlands
    PLoS ONE 7:e41010. 2012
  7. pmc Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change
    Vasilis Dakos
    Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, P O Box 47, 6700 AA, Wageningen, The Netherlands
    Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 105:14308-12. 2008
  8. doi request reprint Emergent neutrality leads to multimodal species abundance distributions
    Remi Vergnon
    Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management Group, Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, Lumen Building 100 Droevendaalsesteeg 3a, PO Box 47, Wageningen 6700 AA, The Netherlands
    Nat Commun 3:663. 2012
  9. doi request reprint Recovery rates reflect distance to a tipping point in a living system
    Annelies J Veraart
    Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, PO Box 47, NL 6700 AA, Wageningen, The Netherlands
    Nature 481:357-9. 2012
  10. pmc The resilience and resistance of an ecosystem to a collapse of diversity
    Andrea S Downing
    Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management Group, Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, The Netherlands
    PLoS ONE 7:e46135. 2012

Collaborators

Detail Information

Publications34

  1. doi request reprint Early-warning signals for critical transitions
    Marten Scheffer
    Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, PO Box 47, 6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands
    Nature 461:53-9. 2009
    ....
  2. pmc Migraine strikes as neuronal excitability reaches a tipping point
    Marten Scheffer
    Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, Wageningen, The Netherlands
    PLoS ONE 8:e72514. 2013
    ..This opens up new avenues for dissecting the mechanisms for the onset of migraine attacks and for identifying novel prophylactic treatment targets for the prevention of attacks. ..
  3. pmc Thresholds for boreal biome transitions
    Marten Scheffer
    Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, NL 6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands
    Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 109:21384-9. 2012
    ..If our inferences are correct, climate change may invoke massive nonlinear shifts in boreal biomes...
  4. doi request reprint Anticipating critical transitions
    Marten Scheffer
    Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, Post Office Box 47, NL 6700 AA Wageningen, Netherlands
    Science 338:344-8. 2012
    ..Although sudden shifts in complex systems will inevitably continue to surprise us, work at the crossroads of these emerging fields offers new approaches for anticipating critical transitions...
  5. pmc Self-organized similarity, the evolutionary emergence of groups of similar species
    Marten Scheffer
    Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management Group, Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, P O Box 8080, 6700 DD, Wageningen, The Netherlands
    Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 103:6230-5. 2006
    ....
  6. pmc Methods for detecting early warnings of critical transitions in time series illustrated using simulated ecological data
    Vasilis Dakos
    Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, Wageningen, The Netherlands
    PLoS ONE 7:e41010. 2012
    ..In addition to a methodological guide, our work offers a practical toolbox that may be used in a wide range of fields to help detect early warning signals of critical transitions in time series data...
  7. pmc Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change
    Vasilis Dakos
    Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, P O Box 47, 6700 AA, Wageningen, The Netherlands
    Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 105:14308-12. 2008
    ..Because tipping points in ecosystems and other complex systems are notoriously hard to predict in other ways, this is a promising perspective...
  8. doi request reprint Emergent neutrality leads to multimodal species abundance distributions
    Remi Vergnon
    Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management Group, Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, Lumen Building 100 Droevendaalsesteeg 3a, PO Box 47, Wageningen 6700 AA, The Netherlands
    Nat Commun 3:663. 2012
    ..Such self-organized similarity unifies niche and neutral theories of biodiversity...
  9. doi request reprint Recovery rates reflect distance to a tipping point in a living system
    Annelies J Veraart
    Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, PO Box 47, NL 6700 AA, Wageningen, The Netherlands
    Nature 481:357-9. 2012
    ..Although stochasticity prohibits prediction of the timing of critical transitions, our results suggest that indicators of slowing down may be used to rank complex systems on a broad scale from resilient to fragile...
  10. pmc The resilience and resistance of an ecosystem to a collapse of diversity
    Andrea S Downing
    Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management Group, Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, The Netherlands
    PLoS ONE 7:e46135. 2012
    ..Our results emphasize the need for multiple approaches to studying the functioning of ecosystems, as managing an ecosystem requires understanding not only the threats it is vulnerable to but also pressures it appears resistant to...
  11. doi request reprint Global resilience of tropical forest and savanna to critical transitions
    Marina Hirota
    Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, Wageningen, Netherlands
    Science 334:232-5. 2011
    ..These results allow the identification of regions where forest or savanna may most easily tip into an alternative state, and they pave the way to a new generation of coupled climate models...
  12. doi request reprint Predicting microbial nitrogen pathways from basic principles
    Ingrid A van de Leemput
    Department of Environmental Sciences, Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management Group, Wageningen University, Wageningen, The Netherlands
    Environ Microbiol 13:1477-87. 2011
    ..We hypothesize that some discrepancies can be explained by non-equilibrium dynamics. The model predicted a pathway that has not been discovered in nature yet: the dismutation of nitrite to the level of nitrate and dinitrogen gas...
  13. ncbi request reprint Lake and watershed characteristics rather than climate influence nutrient limitation in shallow lakes
    Sarian Kosten
    Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, P O Box 47, 6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands
    Ecol Appl 19:1791-804. 2009
    ..Furthermore, our data show that in a wide range of climates N limitation does not necessarily lead to cyanobacterial dominance...
  14. doi request reprint Slowing down in spatially patterned ecosystems at the brink of collapse
    Vasilis Dakos
    Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, The Netherlands
    Am Nat 177:E153-66. 2011
    ..Our results illustrate that while critical slowing down may be a universal phenomenon at critical transitions, its detection through indirect indicators may have limitations in particular systems...
  15. pmc Was Lates late? A null model for the Nile perch boom in Lake Victoria
    Andrea S Downing
    Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management Group, Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, Wageningen, The Netherlands Department of Ecology, Environment and Plant Sciences, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
    PLoS ONE 8:e76847. 2013
    ..Our results suggest there is probably no single management strategy applicable to the whole lake that would lead to both efficient and sustainable exploitation of its resources...
  16. ncbi request reprint Robustness of variance and autocorrelation as indicators of critical slowing down
    Vasilis Dakos
    Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, P O Box 47, 6700AA Wageningen, The Netherlands
    Ecology 93:264-71. 2012
    ..To exemplify this point, we provide cases of rising autocorrelation and increasing or decreasing variance in time series prior to past climate transitions...
  17. ncbi request reprint Info-disruption: pollution and the transfer of chemical information between organisms
    Miquel Lürling
    Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management Group, Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, PO Box 8080, 6700 DD Wageningen, The Netherlands
    Trends Ecol Evol 22:374-9. 2007
    ..Similar to endocrine disruptors, these 'info disruptors' form a new class of chemical threats, which could have far-reaching implications for ecosystem functioning and conservation management...
  18. doi request reprint Critical slowing down as early warning for the onset and termination of depression
    Ingrid A van de Leemput
    Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, 6700 AA, Wageningen, The Netherlands
    Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 111:87-92. 2014
    ..Our results support the hypothesis that mood may have alternative stable states separated by tipping points, and suggest an approach for assessing the likelihood of transitions into and out of depression. ..
  19. doi request reprint Tipping points in tropical tree cover: linking theory to data
    Egbert H Van Nes
    Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, P O Box 47, Wageningen, NL 6700 AA, The Netherlands
    Glob Chang Biol 20:1016-21. 2014
    ..Finally, we show how directionality of historical change in conditions may bias the observed relationship between tree cover and environmental conditions. ..
  20. doi request reprint Repeated parallel evolution reveals limiting similarity in subterranean diving beetles
    Remi Vergnon
    Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, P O Box 47, 6700 AA, Wageningen, The Netherlands
    Am Nat 182:67-75. 2013
    ..For less isolated habitats, the same model predicts the coexistence of multiple species in each regularly spaced functional group. Limiting similarity, therefore, may also be compatible with the coexistence of many redundant species...
  21. pmc Interannual variability in species composition explained as seasonally entrained chaos
    Vasilis Dakos
    Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, PO Box 47, 6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands
    Proc Biol Sci 276:2871-80. 2009
    ..Our results suggest that interannual variability in species composition is an intrinsic property of multi-species communities in seasonal environments...
  22. ncbi request reprint Impacts of agricultural phosphorus use in catchments on shallow lake water quality: About buffers, time delays and equilibria
    Peter Schippers
    Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management Group, Wageningen University and Research Centre, PO Box 8080, 6700 DD Wageningen, The Netherlands
    Sci Total Environ 369:280-94. 2006
    ..7 kg P ha(-1) yr(-1). We present several simple equations that can be used to estimate the sustainable P surplus levels, buffer related time delays and equilibrium P concentrations in other catchment-lake systems...
  23. ncbi request reprint Collapse and reorganization of a food web of Mwanza Gulf, Lake Victoria
    Andrea S Downing
    Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management Group, Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, P O Box 47, NL 6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands
    Ecol Appl 22:229-39. 2012
    ..By contrast, its intricate functional structure and associated biodiversity have proved to be fragile and seem unlikely to recover...
  24. doi request reprint The sudden collapse of pollinator communities
    J Jelle Lever
    Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, P O Box 47, NL 6700 AA, Wageningen, The Netherlands Integrative Ecology Group, Estacion Biologica de Donana, CSIC Calle Américo Vespucio s n, Sevilla, 41092, Spain
    Ecol Lett 17:350-9. 2014
    ..These findings may have large implications for our view on the sustainability of pollinator communities and the services they provide. ..
  25. pmc Warming can boost denitrification disproportionately due to altered oxygen dynamics
    Annelies J Veraart
    Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, Wageningen, The Netherlands
    PLoS ONE 6:e18508. 2011
    ..Although several studies have reported increased denitrification rates with rising temperature, the impact of temperature on denitrification seems to vary widely between systems...
  26. pmc The angiosperm radiation revisited, an ecological explanation for Darwin's 'abominable mystery'
    Frank Berendse
    Nature Conservation and Plant Ecology Group, Wageningen University, 6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands
    Ecol Lett 12:865-72. 2009
    ..Evidence for the possibility of such a critical transition to angiosperm dominance comes from recent work on large scale vegetation shifts, linking long-term field observations, large scale experiments and the use of simulation models...
  27. ncbi request reprint What minimal models cannot tell: a comment on "A model of phytoplankton blooms"
    Egbert H Van Nes
    Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, P O Box 8080, NL 6700 DD Wageningen, The Netherlands
    Am Nat 163:924-6; discussion 927-9. 2004
    ..It cannot be used to reveal the relative importance of alternative explanations...
  28. ncbi request reprint Slow recovery from perturbations as a generic indicator of a nearby catastrophic shift
    Egbert H Van Nes
    Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, Wageningen, The Netherlands
    Am Nat 169:738-47. 2007
    ....
  29. ncbi request reprint Large species shifts triggered by small forces
    Egbert H Van Nes
    Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, P O Box 8080, NL 6700 DD Wageningen, The Netherlands
    Am Nat 164:255-66. 2004
    ..Additionally, our results support the idea that ancient mass extinctions may partly be due to an intrinsic loss of stability of species configurations...
  30. pmc Floating plant dominance as a stable state
    Marten Scheffer
    Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management Group, Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, P O Box 8080, 6700 DD, Wageningen, The Netherlands
    Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 100:4040-5. 2003
    ..On the other hand, our results also suggest that a single drastic harvest of floating plants can induce a permanent shift to an alternative state dominated by rooted, submerged growth forms...
  31. ncbi request reprint Can overwintering versus diapausing strategy in Daphnia determine match-mismatch events in zooplankton-algae interactions?
    Lisette N de Senerpont Domis
    NIOO KNAW, Centre for Limnology, Rijksstraatweg 6, 3631 AC, Nieuwersluis, The Netherlands
    Oecologia 150:682-98. 2007
    ..Future research should point out whether lake depth is a direct causal factor in determining the presence of active overwintering daphnids or merely indicative for underlying causal factors such as fish predation and macrophyte cover...
  32. ncbi request reprint Adaptive management of the Great Barrier Reef and the Grand Canyon world heritage areas
    Terence P Hughes
    Australian Research Council, Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University, Townsville, Australia
    Ambio 36:586-92. 2007
    ....
  33. doi request reprint Chaos in a long-term experiment with a plankton community
    Elisa Benincà
    Aquatic Microbiology, Institute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics, University of Amsterdam, Nieuwe Achtergracht 127, 1018 WS Amsterdam, The Netherlands
    Nature 451:822-5. 2008
    ..This implies that stability is not required for the persistence of complex food webs, and that the long-term prediction of species abundances can be fundamentally impossible...
  34. ncbi request reprint Perpest model, a case-based reasoning approach to predict ecological risks of pesticides
    Paul J Van den Brink
    Alterra Green World Research, Wageningen University and Research Centre, The Netherlands
    Environ Toxicol Chem 21:2500-6. 2002
    ..This paper discusses the scientific background of the model as well as its strengths, limitations, and possible applications...