H Nishiura

Summary

Affiliation: Utrecht University
Country: The Netherlands

Publications

  1. doi Potential effectiveness of public health interventions during the equine influenza outbreak in racehorse facilities in Japan, 2007
    H Nishiura
    PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Saitama, Japan
    Transbound Emerg Dis 57:162-70. 2010
  2. pmc Smallpox and season: reanalysis of historical data
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    Theoretical Epidemiology, University of Utrecht, Yalelaan 7, 3584 CL Utrecht, The Netherlands
    Interdiscip Perspect Infect Dis 2009:591935. 2009
  3. pmc Entry screening to delay local transmission of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1)
    Benjamin J Cowling
    School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People s Republic of China
    BMC Infect Dis 10:82. 2010
  4. pmc Does Glycosylation as a modifier of Original Antigenic Sin explain the case age distribution and unusual toxicity in pandemic novel H1N1 influenza?
    Tom Reichert
    Entropy Research Institute, 345 S, Great Road, Lincoln, Massachusetts 01773, USA
    BMC Infect Dis 10:5. 2010
  5. pmc Correcting the actual reproduction number: a simple method to estimate R(0) from early epidemic growth data
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Saitama, 332 0012, Japan
    Int J Environ Res Public Health 7:291-302. 2010
  6. pmc Pros and cons of estimating the reproduction number from early epidemic growth rate of influenza A (H1N1) 2009
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Honcho 4 1 8, Kawaguchi, Saitama, 332 0012, Japan
    Theor Biol Med Model 7:1. 2010
  7. pmc Early epidemiological assessment of the virulence of emerging infectious diseases: a case study of an influenza pandemic
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    Theoretical Epidemiology, University of Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
    PLoS ONE 4:e6852. 2009
  8. pmc The ideal reporting interval for an epidemic to objectively interpret the epidemiological time course
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    Theoretical Epidemiology, University of Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
    J R Soc Interface 7:297-307. 2010
  9. pmc Quarantine for pandemic influenza control at the borders of small island nations
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    Theoretical Epidemiology, University of Utrecht, 3584 CL Utrecht, The Netherlands
    BMC Infect Dis 9:27. 2009
  10. ncbi Household and community transmission of the Asian influenza A (H2N2) and influenza B viruses in 1957 and 1961
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    Department of Medical Biometry, University of Tubingen, Tubingen, Germany
    Southeast Asian J Trop Med Public Health 38:1075-83. 2007

Collaborators

Detail Information

Publications39

  1. doi Potential effectiveness of public health interventions during the equine influenza outbreak in racehorse facilities in Japan, 2007
    H Nishiura
    PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Saitama, Japan
    Transbound Emerg Dis 57:162-70. 2010
    ..0% to 99.5%. The combined effect of vaccination prior to the outbreak and other public health interventions is thought to have helped control the outbreak in 2007...
  2. pmc Smallpox and season: reanalysis of historical data
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    Theoretical Epidemiology, University of Utrecht, Yalelaan 7, 3584 CL Utrecht, The Netherlands
    Interdiscip Perspect Infect Dis 2009:591935. 2009
    ..01) and correlation (P < .01), respectively, with humidity. These findings suggest that smallpox transmission greatly varies with season and is most likely enhanced by dry weather...
  3. pmc Entry screening to delay local transmission of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1)
    Benjamin J Cowling
    School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People s Republic of China
    BMC Infect Dis 10:82. 2010
    ..After the WHO issued the global alert for 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1), many national health agencies began to screen travelers on entry in airports, ports and border crossings to try to delay local transmission...
  4. pmc Does Glycosylation as a modifier of Original Antigenic Sin explain the case age distribution and unusual toxicity in pandemic novel H1N1 influenza?
    Tom Reichert
    Entropy Research Institute, 345 S, Great Road, Lincoln, Massachusetts 01773, USA
    BMC Infect Dis 10:5. 2010
    ..However, this principle is not sufficient to explain the graded susceptibility between ages 20 and 60, the reduced susceptibility in children below age 10, and the unusual toxicity observed...
  5. pmc Correcting the actual reproduction number: a simple method to estimate R(0) from early epidemic growth data
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Saitama, 332 0012, Japan
    Int J Environ Res Public Health 7:291-302. 2010
    ..60 to 3.74, consistent with those based on the Euler-Lotka equation. The method also permits calculating the expected value of R(0) using a spreadsheet...
  6. pmc Pros and cons of estimating the reproduction number from early epidemic growth rate of influenza A (H1N1) 2009
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Honcho 4 1 8, Kawaguchi, Saitama, 332 0012, Japan
    Theor Biol Med Model 7:1. 2010
    ..The growth rate at the initial stage of the epidemic in Japan led to estimates for R in the range 2.0 to 2.6, capturing the intensity of the initial outbreak among school-age children in May 2009...
  7. pmc Early epidemiological assessment of the virulence of emerging infectious diseases: a case study of an influenza pandemic
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    Theoretical Epidemiology, University of Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
    PLoS ONE 4:e6852. 2009
    ..The present study develops a simple method to obtain an unbiased estimate of confirmed CFR (cCFR), using only the confirmed cases as the denominator, at an early stage of epidemic, even when there have been only a few deaths...
  8. pmc The ideal reporting interval for an epidemic to objectively interpret the epidemiological time course
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    Theoretical Epidemiology, University of Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
    J R Soc Interface 7:297-307. 2010
    ....
  9. pmc Quarantine for pandemic influenza control at the borders of small island nations
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    Theoretical Epidemiology, University of Utrecht, 3584 CL Utrecht, The Netherlands
    BMC Infect Dis 9:27. 2009
    ..Motivated by the situation of small island nations, which will probably experience the introduction of pandemic influenza via just one airport, we examined the potential effectiveness of quarantine as a border control measure...
  10. ncbi Household and community transmission of the Asian influenza A (H2N2) and influenza B viruses in 1957 and 1961
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    Department of Medical Biometry, University of Tubingen, Tubingen, Germany
    Southeast Asian J Trop Med Public Health 38:1075-83. 2007
    ....
  11. pmc Extracting key information from historical data to quantify the transmission dynamics of smallpox
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    Theoretical Epidemiology, University of Utrecht, Yalelaan 7, 3584CL, Utrecht, The Netherlands
    Theor Biol Med Model 5:20. 2008
    ..This article reviews basic methods and findings in mathematical and statistical studies of smallpox which estimate key transmission parameters from historical data...
  12. ncbi Rurality and pandemic influenza: geographic heterogeneity in the risks of infection and death in Kanagawa, Japan (1918-1919)
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    Theoretical Epidemiology, University of Utrecht, Yalelaan 7, 3584 CL, Utrecht, The Netherlands
    N Z Med J 121:18-27. 2008
    ..To characterise the impact of rurality on the spread of pandemic influenza by exploring both the numbers of cases and deaths in Kanagawa Prefecture, Japan, from October 1918 to April 1919 inclusive...
  13. doi Determination of the appropriate quarantine period following smallpox exposure: an objective approach using the incubation period distribution
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    Department of Medical Biometry, University of Tubingen, Westbahnhofstr 55, Tübingen D 72070, Germany
    Int J Hyg Environ Health 212:97-104. 2009
    ..These results suggest that quarantine measures can ensure non-infection among those exposed to smallpox with probabilities higher than 95-99%, if the exposed individuals are quarantined for 18-23 days after the date of contact tracing...
  14. doi Joint quantification of transmission dynamics and diagnostic accuracy applied to influenza
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, 4 1 8 Honcho Kawaguchi, Saitama 332 0012, Japan
    Math Biosci Eng 8:49-64. 2011
    ..Our study suggests that by consistently reporting both test positive and test negative cases, the usefulness of extractable information from routine surveillance record of infectious diseases would be maximized...
  15. doi How to find natural reservoir hosts from endemic prevalence in a multi-host population: a case study of influenza in waterfowl
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    Theoretical Epidemiology, University of Utrecht, Yalelaan 7, Utrecht, The Netherlands
    Epidemics 1:118-28. 2009
    ..We further discuss epidemiological issues which are concerned with the interpretation of influenza prevalence data, identifying key features to be fully clarified in the future...
  16. doi Time variations in the generation time of an infectious disease: implications for sampling to appropriately quantify transmission potential
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency JST, 4 1 8 Honcho Kawaguchi, Saitama 332 0012, Japan
    Math Biosci Eng 7:851-69. 2010
    ..Mathematical properties of the generation time distribution in a heterogeneously mixing population need to be clarified further...
  17. doi An epidemiological analysis of the foot-and-mouth disease epidemic in Miyazaki, Japan, 2010
    H Nishiura
    PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Saitama, Japan
    Transbound Emerg Dis 57:396-403. 2010
    ..Given that multiple outbreaks in Far East Asian countries have occurred since early 2010, continued monitoring and surveillance is deemed essential...
  18. doi Travel and age of influenza A (H1N1) 2009 virus infection
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Saitama, Japan
    J Travel Med 17:269-70. 2010
    ..01) reflecting age-specific travel patterns. Border controls should account for the high frequency of infection among adults...
  19. ncbi The virulence of pandemic influenza A (H1N1) 2009: an epidemiological perspective on the case-fatality ratio
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Saitama, Japan and Theoretical Epidemiology, University of Utrecht, Yalelaan 7, Utrecht, 3584 CL, The Netherlands
    Expert Rev Respir Med 4:329-38. 2010
    ....
  20. ncbi Interpreting the epidemiology of postexposure vaccination against smallpox
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    Department of Medical Biometry, University of Tubingen, Tubingen, Germany
    Int J Hyg Environ Health 211:219-26. 2008
    ....
  21. ncbi Estimation of the duration of vaccine-induced residual protection against severe and fatal smallpox based on secondary vaccination failure
    H Nishiura
    Dept of Medical Biometry, University of Tubingen, Westbahnhofstr 55, Tubingen, Germany
    Infection 34:241-6. 2006
    ....
  22. ncbi Still protected against smallpox? Estimation of the duration of vaccine-induced immunity against smallpox
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    Department of Medical Biometry, University of Tubingen, Westbahnhofstrasse 55, Tübingen D 72070, Germany
    Epidemiology 17:576-81. 2006
    ..It has previously been suggested that at least partial protection against severe and fatal smallpox may persist throughout life...
  23. pmc Infectiousness of smallpox relative to disease age: estimates based on transmission network and incubation period
    H Nishiura
    Department of Medical Biometry, University of Tubingen, Tubingen, Germany
    Epidemiol Infect 135:1145-50. 2007
    ..1% of secondary transmissions occurred up to 9 days after onset of fever. The proposed method appeared to be useful for diseases with an acute course of illness, where transmission was not hampered by depletion of susceptible contacts...
  24. ncbi Analysis of a previous smallpox vaccination study: estimation of the time period required to acquire vaccine-induced immunity as assessed by revaccination
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    Department of Medical Biometry, University of Tubingen, Westbahnhofstr 55, Tubingen, Germany
    Southeast Asian J Trop Med Public Health 37:673-80. 2006
    ....
  25. ncbi Household transmission of influenza (H1N1-2009) in Japan: age-specificity and reduction of household transmission risk by zanamivir treatment
    H Nishiura
    PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Saitama, Japan
    J Int Med Res 39:619-28. 2011
    ..38, 0.86) times that among those receiving the same treatment at > 48 h and those not receiving treatment. The preventive performance of antiviral treatment and prophylaxis should be further examined in randomized controlled trials...
  26. pmc Incubation period as a clinical predictor of botulism: analysis of previous izushi-borne outbreaks in Hokkaido, Japan, from 1951 to 1965
    H Nishiura
    Department of Medical Biometry, University of Tubingen, Tubingen, Germany
    Epidemiol Infect 135:126-30. 2007
    ..In the event of intentional contamination of food with botulinum toxin, rapidly determining the incubation periods may be critical for guiding public health response efforts...
  27. pmc Time variations in the transmissibility of pandemic influenza in Prussia, Germany, from 1918-19
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    Department of Medical Biometry, University of Tubingen, Tubingen, Germany
    Theor Biol Med Model 4:20. 2007
    ....
  28. ncbi Epidemiology of a primary pneumonic plague in Kantoshu, Manchuria, from 1910 to 1911: statistical analysis of individual records collected by the Japanese Empire
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    Department of Medical Biometry, University of Tubingen, Westbahnhofstrasse 55, Tubingen, D 72070, Germany
    Int J Epidemiol 35:1059-65. 2006
    ..With the current rarity of pneumonic plague epidemics, our epidemiological knowledge remains insufficient for detailed characterization of effective control measures...
  29. pmc Smallpox during pregnancy and maternal outcomes
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    Department of Medical Biometry, University of Tubingen, Tubingen, Germany
    Emerg Infect Dis 12:1119-21. 2006
    ..3% (95% confidence interval [CI] 31.4-37.1), and the proportion of miscarriage or premature birth was estimated to be 39.9% (95% CI 36.5-43.2). Vaccination before pregnancy reduced the risk for death...
  30. ncbi Estimates of short- and long-term incubation periods of Plasmodium vivax malaria in the Republic of Korea
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    Department of Medical Biometry, University of Tubingen, Westbahnhofstrasse 55, Tubingen, Germany
    Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg 101:338-43. 2007
    ..We postulate that the observed distribution reflects adaptation of the parasite to the seasonal population dynamics of the vector, Anopheles sinensis, ensuring continued transmission of vivax malaria in this temperate zone...
  31. ncbi Natural history of dengue virus (DENV)-1 and DENV-4 infections: reanalysis of classic studies
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    Department of Medical Biometry, University of Tubingen, Tubingen, D 72070, Germany
    J Infect Dis 195:1007-13. 2007
    ..The natural history of wild-type dengue virus (DENV) infections of humans, including incubation and infectious periods, requires further study...
  32. pmc Transmission potential of primary pneumonic plague: time inhomogeneous evaluation based on historical documents of the transmission network
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    Department of Medical Biometry, University of Tubingen, Westbahnhofstr 55, Tübingen 72070, Germany
    J Epidemiol Community Health 60:640-5. 2006
    ..Furthermore, a likelihood based approach was used for the time inhomogeneous evaluation of the outbreaks for which there was scarcity of cases...
  33. pmc Comparative estimation of the reproduction number for pandemic influenza from daily case notification data
    Gerardo Chowell
    Theoretical Division MS B284, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545, USA
    J R Soc Interface 4:155-66. 2007
    ..We conclude that the reproduction number for pandemic influenza (Spanish flu) at the city level can be robustly assessed to lie in the range of 2.0-3.0, in broad agreement with previous estimates using distinct data...
  34. ncbi Evidence of the partial effects of inactivated Japanese encephalitis vaccination: analysis of previous outbreaks in Japan from 1953 to 1960
    Kunio Satou
    Department of Epidemiology, National Institute of Animal Health, Tsukuba, Japan
    Ann Epidemiol 17:271-7. 2007
    ..To evaluate the partial effects of vaccination against equine Japanese encephalitis (JE) and characterize other prognostic factors based on previous outbreak records in Japan from 1953 to 1960...
  35. pmc Transmission dynamics of hepatitis E among swine: potential impact upon human infection
    Kunio Satou
    Department of Epidemiology, National Institute of Animal Health, Kannnondai, Tsukuba, Japan
    BMC Vet Res 3:9. 2007
    ..Clarifying the detailed mechanisms of transmission within farms is required in order to facilitate an understanding of the age-specific patterns of infection, especially just prior to slaughter...
  36. pmc Dementia-specific risks of scabies: retrospective epidemiologic analysis of an unveiled nosocomial outbreak in Japan from 1989-90
    Masae Tsutsumi
    School of Nursing, Yamaguchi Prefectural University, Miyanoshimo, Yamaguchi, Japan
    BMC Infect Dis 5:85. 2005
    ..This study documents the findings of a ward-scale nosocomial outbreak in western Japan from 1989-90, for which permission to publish was only recently obtained...
  37. ncbi Rapid awareness and transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome in Hanoi French Hospital, Vietnam
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    The Research Institute of Tuberculosis, Japan Anti Tuberculosis Association, Tokyo, Japan
    Am J Trop Med Hyg 73:17-25. 2005
    ..Intuitive results obtained by means of stochastic individual-based simulations showed that rapid improvements in behavior and isolation would increase the probability of extinction...
  38. ncbi Simple approximate backcalculation method applied to estimate HIV prevalence in Japan
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, England
    Jpn J Infect Dis 57:133-5. 2004
  39. ncbi Modeling for a smallpox-vaccination policy against possible bioterrorism in Japan: the impact of long-lasting vaccinal immunity
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    Bangkok School of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Thailand
    J Epidemiol 14:41-50. 2004
    ....