Research Topics
| H NishiuraSummaryAffiliation: Utrecht University Country: The Netherlands Publications
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Detail Information
Publications
Potential effectiveness of public health interventions during the equine influenza outbreak in racehorse facilities in Japan, 2007H Nishiura
PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Saitama, Japan
Transbound Emerg Dis 57:162-70. 2010..0% to 99.5%. The combined effect of vaccination prior to the outbreak and other public health interventions is thought to have helped control the outbreak in 2007...
Entry screening to delay local transmission of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1)Benjamin J Cowling
School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People s Republic of China
BMC Infect Dis 10:82. 2010..After the WHO issued the global alert for 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1), many national health agencies began to screen travelers on entry in airports, ports and border crossings to try to delay local transmission...- Does Glycosylation as a modifier of Original Antigenic Sin explain the case age distribution and unusual toxicity in pandemic novel H1N1 influenza?Tom Reichert
Entropy Research Institute, 345 S, Great Road, Lincoln, Massachusetts 01773, USA
BMC Infect Dis 10:5. 2010..However, this principle is not sufficient to explain the graded susceptibility between ages 20 and 60, the reduced susceptibility in children below age 10, and the unusual toxicity observed... - Determination of the appropriate quarantine period following smallpox exposure: an objective approach using the incubation period distributionHiroshi Nishiura
Department of Medical Biometry, University of Tubingen, Westbahnhofstr 55, Tübingen D 72070, Germany
Int J Hyg Environ Health 212:97-104. 2009..These results suggest that quarantine measures can ensure non-infection among those exposed to smallpox with probabilities higher than 95-99%, if the exposed individuals are quarantined for 18-23 days after the date of contact tracing... - Correcting the actual reproduction number: a simple method to estimate R(0) from early epidemic growth dataHiroshi Nishiura
PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Saitama, 332 0012, Japan
Int J Environ Res Public Health 7:291-302. 2010..60 to 3.74, consistent with those based on the Euler-Lotka equation. The method also permits calculating the expected value of R(0) using a spreadsheet... - Pros and cons of estimating the reproduction number from early epidemic growth rate of influenza A (H1N1) 2009Hiroshi Nishiura
PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Honcho 4 1 8, Kawaguchi, Saitama, 332 0012, Japan
Theor Biol Med Model 7:1. 2010..The growth rate at the initial stage of the epidemic in Japan led to estimates for R in the range 2.0 to 2.6, capturing the intensity of the initial outbreak among school-age children in May 2009... - Early epidemiological assessment of the virulence of emerging infectious diseases: a case study of an influenza pandemicHiroshi Nishiura
Theoretical Epidemiology, University of Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
PLoS ONE 4:e6852. 2009..The present study develops a simple method to obtain an unbiased estimate of confirmed CFR (cCFR), using only the confirmed cases as the denominator, at an early stage of epidemic, even when there have been only a few deaths... - The ideal reporting interval for an epidemic to objectively interpret the epidemiological time courseHiroshi Nishiura
Theoretical Epidemiology, University of Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
J R Soc Interface 7:297-307. 2010.... - Quarantine for pandemic influenza control at the borders of small island nationsHiroshi Nishiura
Theoretical Epidemiology, University of Utrecht, 3584 CL Utrecht, The Netherlands
BMC Infect Dis 9:27. 2009..Motivated by the situation of small island nations, which will probably experience the introduction of pandemic influenza via just one airport, we examined the potential effectiveness of quarantine as a border control measure... 
Household and community transmission of the Asian influenza A (H2N2) and influenza B viruses in 1957 and 1961Hiroshi Nishiura
Department of Medical Biometry, University of Tubingen, Tubingen, Germany
Southeast Asian J Trop Med Public Health 38:1075-83. 2007....- Extracting key information from historical data to quantify the transmission dynamics of smallpoxHiroshi Nishiura
Theoretical Epidemiology, University of Utrecht, Yalelaan 7, 3584CL, Utrecht, The Netherlands
Theor Biol Med Model 5:20. 2008..This article reviews basic methods and findings in mathematical and statistical studies of smallpox which estimate key transmission parameters from historical data... - Rurality and pandemic influenza: geographic heterogeneity in the risks of infection and death in Kanagawa, Japan (1918-1919)Hiroshi Nishiura
Theoretical Epidemiology, University of Utrecht, Yalelaan 7, 3584 CL, Utrecht, The Netherlands
N Z Med J 121:18-27. 2008..To characterise the impact of rurality on the spread of pandemic influenza by exploring both the numbers of cases and deaths in Kanagawa Prefecture, Japan, from October 1918 to April 1919 inclusive... - Travel and age of influenza A (H1N1) 2009 virus infectionHiroshi Nishiura
PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Saitama, Japan
J Travel Med 17:269-70. 2010..01) reflecting age-specific travel patterns. Border controls should account for the high frequency of infection among adults... - The virulence of pandemic influenza A (H1N1) 2009: an epidemiological perspective on the case-fatality ratioHiroshi Nishiura
PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Saitama, Japan and Theoretical Epidemiology, University of Utrecht, Yalelaan 7, Utrecht, 3584 CL, The Netherlands
Expert Rev Respir Med 4:329-38. 2010.... - Joint quantification of transmission dynamics and diagnostic accuracy applied to influenzaHiroshi Nishiura
PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, 4 1 8 Honcho Kawaguchi, Saitama 332 0012, Japan
Math Biosci Eng 8:49-64. 2011..Our study suggests that by consistently reporting both test positive and test negative cases, the usefulness of extractable information from routine surveillance record of infectious diseases would be maximized... - An epidemiological analysis of the foot-and-mouth disease epidemic in Miyazaki, Japan, 2010H Nishiura
PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Saitama, Japan
Transbound Emerg Dis 57:396-403. 2010..Given that multiple outbreaks in Far East Asian countries have occurred since early 2010, continued monitoring and surveillance is deemed essential... - Time variations in the generation time of an infectious disease: implications for sampling to appropriately quantify transmission potentialHiroshi Nishiura
PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency JST, 4 1 8 Honcho Kawaguchi, Saitama 332 0012, Japan
Math Biosci Eng 7:851-69. 2010..Mathematical properties of the generation time distribution in a heterogeneously mixing population need to be clarified further... - How to find natural reservoir hosts from endemic prevalence in a multi-host population: a case study of influenza in waterfowlHiroshi Nishiura
Theoretical Epidemiology, University of Utrecht, Yalelaan 7, Utrecht, The Netherlands
Epidemics 1:118-28. 2009..We further discuss epidemiological issues which are concerned with the interpretation of influenza prevalence data, identifying key features to be fully clarified in the future... - Interpreting the epidemiology of postexposure vaccination against smallpoxHiroshi Nishiura
Department of Medical Biometry, University of Tubingen, Tubingen, Germany
Int J Hyg Environ Health 211:219-26. 2008.... - Estimation of the duration of vaccine-induced residual protection against severe and fatal smallpox based on secondary vaccination failureH Nishiura
Dept of Medical Biometry, University of Tubingen, Westbahnhofstr 55, Tubingen, Germany
Infection 34:241-6. 2006.... - Still protected against smallpox? Estimation of the duration of vaccine-induced immunity against smallpoxHiroshi Nishiura
Department of Medical Biometry, University of Tubingen, Westbahnhofstrasse 55, Tübingen D 72070, Germany
Epidemiology 17:576-81. 2006..It has previously been suggested that at least partial protection against severe and fatal smallpox may persist throughout life... - Infectiousness of smallpox relative to disease age: estimates based on transmission network and incubation periodH Nishiura
Department of Medical Biometry, University of Tubingen, Tubingen, Germany
Epidemiol Infect 135:1145-50. 2007..1% of secondary transmissions occurred up to 9 days after onset of fever. The proposed method appeared to be useful for diseases with an acute course of illness, where transmission was not hampered by depletion of susceptible contacts... - Analysis of a previous smallpox vaccination study: estimation of the time period required to acquire vaccine-induced immunity as assessed by revaccinationHiroshi Nishiura
Department of Medical Biometry, University of Tubingen, Westbahnhofstr 55, Tubingen, Germany
Southeast Asian J Trop Med Public Health 37:673-80. 2006.... - Household transmission of influenza (H1N1-2009) in Japan: age-specificity and reduction of household transmission risk by zanamivir treatmentH Nishiura
PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Saitama, Japan
J Int Med Res 39:619-28. 2011..38, 0.86) times that among those receiving the same treatment at > 48 h and those not receiving treatment. The preventive performance of antiviral treatment and prophylaxis should be further examined in randomized controlled trials... - Incubation period as a clinical predictor of botulism: analysis of previous izushi-borne outbreaks in Hokkaido, Japan, from 1951 to 1965H Nishiura
Department of Medical Biometry, University of Tubingen, Tubingen, Germany
Epidemiol Infect 135:126-30. 2007..In the event of intentional contamination of food with botulinum toxin, rapidly determining the incubation periods may be critical for guiding public health response efforts... - Time variations in the transmissibility of pandemic influenza in Prussia, Germany, from 1918-19Hiroshi Nishiura
Department of Medical Biometry, University of Tubingen, Tubingen, Germany
Theor Biol Med Model 4:20. 2007.... - Epidemiology of a primary pneumonic plague in Kantoshu, Manchuria, from 1910 to 1911: statistical analysis of individual records collected by the Japanese EmpireHiroshi Nishiura
Department of Medical Biometry, University of Tubingen, Westbahnhofstrasse 55, Tubingen, D 72070, Germany
Int J Epidemiol 35:1059-65. 2006..With the current rarity of pneumonic plague epidemics, our epidemiological knowledge remains insufficient for detailed characterization of effective control measures... - Smallpox during pregnancy and maternal outcomesHiroshi Nishiura
Department of Medical Biometry, University of Tubingen, Tubingen, Germany
Emerg Infect Dis 12:1119-21. 2006..3% (95% confidence interval [CI] 31.4-37.1), and the proportion of miscarriage or premature birth was estimated to be 39.9% (95% CI 36.5-43.2). Vaccination before pregnancy reduced the risk for death... - Estimates of short- and long-term incubation periods of Plasmodium vivax malaria in the Republic of KoreaHiroshi Nishiura
Department of Medical Biometry, University of Tubingen, Westbahnhofstrasse 55, Tubingen, Germany
Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg 101:338-43. 2007..We postulate that the observed distribution reflects adaptation of the parasite to the seasonal population dynamics of the vector, Anopheles sinensis, ensuring continued transmission of vivax malaria in this temperate zone... - Natural history of dengue virus (DENV)-1 and DENV-4 infections: reanalysis of classic studiesHiroshi Nishiura
Department of Medical Biometry, University of Tubingen, Tubingen, D 72070, Germany
J Infect Dis 195:1007-13. 2007..The natural history of wild-type dengue virus (DENV) infections of humans, including incubation and infectious periods, requires further study... - Transmission potential of primary pneumonic plague: time inhomogeneous evaluation based on historical documents of the transmission networkHiroshi Nishiura
Department of Medical Biometry, University of Tubingen, Westbahnhofstr 55, Tübingen 72070, Germany
J Epidemiol Community Health 60:640-5. 2006..Furthermore, a likelihood based approach was used for the time inhomogeneous evaluation of the outbreaks for which there was scarcity of cases... - Comparative estimation of the reproduction number for pandemic influenza from daily case notification dataGerardo Chowell
Theoretical Division MS B284, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545, USA
J R Soc Interface 4:155-66. 2007..We conclude that the reproduction number for pandemic influenza (Spanish flu) at the city level can be robustly assessed to lie in the range of 2.0-3.0, in broad agreement with previous estimates using distinct data... - Evidence of the partial effects of inactivated Japanese encephalitis vaccination: analysis of previous outbreaks in Japan from 1953 to 1960Kunio Satou
Department of Epidemiology, National Institute of Animal Health, Tsukuba, Japan
Ann Epidemiol 17:271-7. 2007..To evaluate the partial effects of vaccination against equine Japanese encephalitis (JE) and characterize other prognostic factors based on previous outbreak records in Japan from 1953 to 1960... - Transmission dynamics of hepatitis E among swine: potential impact upon human infectionKunio Satou
Department of Epidemiology, National Institute of Animal Health, Kannnondai, Tsukuba, Japan
BMC Vet Res 3:9. 2007..Clarifying the detailed mechanisms of transmission within farms is required in order to facilitate an understanding of the age-specific patterns of infection, especially just prior to slaughter... - Dementia-specific risks of scabies: retrospective epidemiologic analysis of an unveiled nosocomial outbreak in Japan from 1989-90Masae Tsutsumi
School of Nursing, Yamaguchi Prefectural University, Miyanoshimo, Yamaguchi, Japan
BMC Infect Dis 5:85. 2005..This study documents the findings of a ward-scale nosocomial outbreak in western Japan from 1989-90, for which permission to publish was only recently obtained... - Rapid awareness and transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome in Hanoi French Hospital, VietnamHiroshi Nishiura
The Research Institute of Tuberculosis, Japan Anti-Tuberculosis Association, Tokyo, Japan
Am J Trop Med Hyg 73:17-25. 2005..Intuitive results obtained by means of stochastic individual-based simulations showed that rapid improvements in behavior and isolation would increase the probability of extinction... - Simple approximate backcalculation method applied to estimate HIV prevalence in JapanHiroshi Nishiura
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, England
Jpn J Infect Dis 57:133-5. 2004 - Modeling for a smallpox-vaccination policy against possible bioterrorism in Japan: the impact of long-lasting vaccinal immunityHiroshi Nishiura
Bangkok School of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Thailand
J Epidemiol 14:41-50. 2004..It is therefore crucial to determine the real immunity status of the population via epidemiologic studies...