Updates to the Spectrum/Estimation and Projection Package (EPP) model to estimate HIV trends for adults and childrenJohn Stover
Futures Institute, 41A New London Turnpike, Glastonbury, Connecticut 6033, USA
Sex Transm Infect 88:i11-6. 2012
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Resource needs to support orphans and vulnerable children in sub-Saharan AfricaJohn Stover
Futures Institute, 41A New London Turnpike, Glastonbury, CT 06033, USA
Health Policy Plan 22:21-7. 2007
..This is at least four times current funding and should be a priority topic for donor and national government resource allocation decisions this year...
- The Spectrum projection package: improvements in estimating mortality, ART needs, PMTCT impact and uncertainty bounds
J Stover
Futures Institute, Glastonbury, Connecticut, USA
Sex Transm Infect 84:i24-i30. 2008
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- Estimated HIV trends and program effects in Botswana
John Stover
Futures Institute, Glastonbury, CT, USA
PLoS ONE 3:e3729. 2008
..This study uses surveillance, survey and program data to estimate past trends and current levels of HIV in Botswana and the effects of treatment and prevention programs...
How increased contraceptive use has reduced maternal mortalityJohn Stover
Futures Institute, Glastonbury, CT, 06033, USA
Matern Child Health J 14:687-95. 2010
..Increases in the use of modern contraceptives have made and can continue to make an important contribution to reducing maternal mortality in the developing world...
- Spectrum: a model platform for linking maternal and child survival interventions with AIDS, family planning and demographic projections
John Stover
Futures Institute, 41 A New London Tpke, Glastonbury, CT 06033, USA
Int J Epidemiol 39:i7-10. 2010
..A typical LiST application uses three other modules in Spectrum addressing demography, family planning and HIV/AIDS...
- The Spectrum projection package: improvements in estimating incidence by age and sex, mother-to-child transmission, HIV progression in children and double orphans
J Stover
Futures Institute, 41A New London Turnpike, Glastonbury, CT 06033, USA
Sex Transm Infect 86:ii16-21. 2010
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- HIV models to inform health policy
John Stover
Futures Institute, Glastonbury, Connecticut, USA
Curr Opin HIV AIDS 6:108-13. 2011
..To review the recent use of mathematical modeling to inform decision making in HIV policy and programs...
- Long-term costs and health impact of continued global fund support for antiretroviral therapy
John Stover
Futures Institute, Glastonbury, Connecticut, United States of America
PLoS ONE 6:e21048. 2011
..5 million people on antiretroviral therapy (ART) in 104 low- and middle-income countries. We estimated the cost and health impact of continuing treatment for these patients through 2020...
- The global impact of scaling up HIV/AIDS prevention programs in low- and middle-income countries
John Stover
Futures Group/Constella, Glastonbury, CT 06033, USA
Science 311:1474-6. 2006
..Thus, greater spending on prevention now would not only prevent more than half the new infections that would occur from 2005 to 2015 but would actually produce a net financial saving as future costs for treatment and care are averted...
- The past, present and future of HIV, AIDS and resource allocation
Steven Forsythe
Futures Institute, 41 A New London Tpke, Glastonbury, CT 06033, USA
BMC Public Health 9:S4. 2009
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- The impact of an AIDS vaccine in developing countries: a new model and initial results
John Stover
Futures Institute Glastonbury, Connecticut, USA
Health Aff (Millwood) 26:1147-58. 2007
..It therefore makes sense to continue investing in AIDS vaccine research and development and the eventual manufacture and widespread distribution of a vaccine...
- Testing the accuracy of demographic estimates in countries with generalized epidemics
John Stover
Futures Group, Glastonbury, CT 06033, USA
AIDS 18:S67-73. 2004
..To assess the accuracy of demographic estimates that include the effects of HIV/AIDS on adult mortality...
- Evaluating the cost-effectiveness of pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) and its impact on HIV-1 transmission in South Africa
Carel Pretorius
Futures Institute, Glastonbury, Connecticut, United States of America
PLoS ONE 5:e13646. 2010
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- Where are the gaps? The effects of HIV-prevention interventions on behavioral change
Lori Bollinger
The Futures Group, 80 Glastonbury Boulevard, Glastonbury, CT 06033, USA
Stud Fam Plann 35:27-38. 2004
..Evaluation of interventions targeting abstinence programs, workplace programs, and certain groups at high risk of infection would prove invaluable...
- The potential impact of a moderately effective HIV vaccine with rapidly waning protection in South Africa and Thailand
Kyeen M Andersson
Futures Institute, 41 A New London Turnpike, Glastonbury, CT 06033, United States
Vaccine 29:6092-9. 2011
..CDC and UNAIDS organized several modeling research teams to explore the implications of the trial results and potential utility of this vaccine...
- Family planning programs in 2004: new assessments in a changing environment
John Ross
Constella Futures, Glastonbury, CT, USA
Int Fam Plan Perspect 33:22-30. 2007
..An updated evaluation was needed to examine whether these trends have been affected by recent changes in the family planning environment, such as decentralization, the HIV/AIDS pandemic and funding reductions...
- Can we reverse the HIV/AIDS pandemic with an expanded response?
John Stover
Futures Group International, Glastonbury, CT, USA
Lancet 360:73-7. 2002
..Analyses suggest that if the successes achieved in some countries in prevention of transmission can be expanded to a global scale by 2005, about 29 million new infections could be prevented by 2010...
- The cost and impact of male circumcision on HIV/AIDS in Botswana
Lori A Bollinger
Futures Institute, Glastonbury, Connecticut, USA
J Int AIDS Soc 12:7. 2009
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- Methods used in the Lives Saved Tool (LiST)
William Winfrey
Futures Institute, 41 A New London Turnpike, Glastonbury, Connecticut 06033, USA
BMC Public Health 11:S32. 2011
..CONCLUSIONS: The development of LiST is a continuing process. Via technical inputs from the Child Health Epidemiological Group, effectiveness values are updated, interventions are adopted and new features added...
- Projecting the demographic impact of AIDS and the number of people in need of treatment: updates to the Spectrum projection package
J Stover
Futures Group, 80 Glastonbury Boulevard, Glastonbury, CT 06033, USA
Sex Transm Infect 82:iii45-50. 2006
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- Estimating the Impact and Cost of the WHO 2010 Recommendations for Antiretroviral Therapy
John Stover
Futures Institute, 41 A New London Turnpike, Glastonbury, CT 06033, USA
AIDS Res Treat 2011:738271. 2011
..3 billion under the previous eligibility criterion of treating those with CD4 <200 to US$42.5 billion using the revised eligibility criterion of treating those with CD4 <350...
- New approaches to effectively programming HIV/AIDS prevention resources
John Stover
Futures Group, 80 Glastonbury Boulevard, Glastonbury, CT 06033, USA
Bull World Health Organ 83:383. 2005
- Projecting the demographic consequences of adult HIV prevalence trends: the Spectrum Projection Package
J Stover
Futures Group, 80 Glastonbury Blvd, Glastonbury, CT 06033, USA
Sex Transm Infect 80:i14-18. 2004
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- Integrating HIV prevention and treatment: from slogans to impact
Joshua A Salomon
Harvard Center for Population and Development Studies, Department of Population and International Health, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
PLoS Med 2:e16. 2005
..In this paper, we quantify the opportunities and potential risks of large-scale treatment roll-out...
- Monitoring the scale-up of antiretroviral therapy programmes: methods to estimate coverage
J Ties Boerma
The World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
Bull World Health Organ 84:145-50. 2006
..The mid-2005 estimate of 970,000 people receiving ART in low- and middle-income countries (with an uncertainty range 840,000-1,100,000) corresponds to a coverage of 15% of people in need of treatment...
- Methods and procedures for estimating HIV/AIDS and its impact: the UNAIDS/WHO estimates for the end of 2001
Neff Walker
Joint United Nations Programme on HIV and AIDS (UNAIDS, Geneva, Switzerland
AIDS 17:2215-25. 2003
..The paper also discusses the limitations and weaknesses of the procedures and the data used to make the estimates, and suggests areas where further improvements need to be made...
- Using HIV surveillance data: recent experiences and avenues for the future
Cyril Pervilhac
World Health Organization, Switzerland bFutures Group, USA
AIDS 19:S53-8. 2005
..The comparison of surveillance data with financial data provides added insights in the adequacy of the response. These findings and experiences set a new agenda for technical and structural directions to improve data use in countries...
- Resource requirements to fight HIV/AIDS in Latin America and the Caribbean
Marjorie Opuni
Instituto Nacional de Salud Publica, Avenida Universidad 655, Col Sta Maria Ahuacatitlan, CP 62508, Cuemavaca, Morelos, Mexico
AIDS 16:S58-65. 2002
..In addition, with the country revisions, these estimates have also been shown to be key tools for country-level strategic planning...
- The estimated burden of HIV/AIDS in Uganda, 2005-2010
Wolfgang Hladik
Global AIDS Program, National Center for HIV, Viral Hepatitis, STD, and TB Prevention, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Entebbe, Uganda
AIDS 22:503-10. 2008
..To estimate the burden of HIV disease in Uganda and the effect of HIV/AIDS control programmes to mitigate it...
- Modelling the demographic impact of AIDS
John Stover
J Health Popul Nutr 20:102-3. 2002
- Back to basics in HIV prevention: focus on exposure
Elizabeth Pisani
Family Health International, Bangkok, Thailand
BMJ 326:1384-7. 2003
