Detail Information
Publications
The South African fertility decline: Evidence from two censuses and a Demographic and Health SurveyTom A Moultrie
University of Cape Town
Popul Stud (Camb) 57:265-83. 2003..We show also that fertility in South Africa has been falling since the 1960s. Thus, fertility transition predates the establishment of a family planning programme in the country in 1974...
Birth intervals, postponement, and fertility decline in Africa: a new type of transition?Tom A Moultrie
Centre for Actuarial Research, University of Cape Town, Rondebosch, South Africa
Popul Stud (Camb) 66:241-58. 2012..Rather, women are postponing births for other reasons. These findings offer empirical support for the idea that the fertility transition in sub-Saharan Africa is following a different pattern from that observed elsewhere...
Refining the criteria for stalled fertility declines: an application to rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa, 1990-2005Tom A Moultrie
Centre for Actuarial Research, University of Cape Town, South Africa
Stud Fam Plann 39:39-48. 2008..This identification of a stalled fertility decline provides the first evidence of such a stall in southern Africa, the region with the lowest fertility levels in sub-Saharan Africa...
A careful look at "A re-look at recent statistics on mortality in the context of HIV/AIDS with particular reference to South Africa"Rob Dorrington
Centre for Actuarial Research, University of Cape Town, South Africa
Curr HIV Res 6:279-85. 2008..This paper shows how, on theoretical, methodological and empirical grounds, the reasoning and estimates in the paper are severely flawed, and thus that the conclusions drawn in that paper are unjustified...
Fertility trend and pattern in a rural area of South Africa in the context of HIV/AIDSCarol S Camlin
Africa Centre for Health and Population Studies, Mtubatuba 3935, South Africa
Afr J Reprod Health 8:38-54. 2004..If the current trends continue in the future, below replacement fertility, together with high mortality due to AIDS, it could soon lead to negative natural population growth in rural South Africa...
Teenage fertility rates falling in South AfricaTom A Moultrie
S Afr Med J 97:442-3. 2007
