Climate change threats to plant diversity in EuropeWilfried Thuiller
Centre d Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique Unité Mixte de Recherche 5175, 1919 Route de Mende, 34293 Montpellier Cedex 5, France
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 102:8245-50. 2005
..We found that risks of extinction for European plants may be large, even in moderate scenarios of climate change and despite inter-model variability...
Biodiversity conservation: uncertainty in predictions of extinction riskWilfried Thuiller
Centre d Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive, CNRS, 34293 Montpellier Cedex 5, France
Nature 430:1 p following 33; discussion following 33. 2004
..6% to 78.6% extinctions), we find that two additional sources of uncertainty may substantially increase the variability in predictions...
Global environmental change and the uncertain fate of biodiversity. Global Environmental Change and Biodiversity--a DIVERSITAS/Tyndall Centre/TERACC/QUEST-sponsored workshop, Dourdan, France, May 2005Guy F Midgley
Climate Change Research Group, SA National Biodiversity Institute, Kirstenbosch Research Center, Rhodes Drive, P/Bag X7, Claremont 7735, Cape Town, South Africa
New Phytol 167:638-41. 2005
Introduction. Global change and biodiversity: future challengesPhoebe Barnard
Global Change and Biodiversity Programme, South African National Biodiversity Institute, Kirstenbosch Research Centre, Private Bag X7, Claremont 7735, Republic of South Africa
Biol Lett 4:553-5. 2008
Comparing niche- and process-based models to reduce prediction uncertainty in species range shifts under climate changeXavier Morin
Centre d Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive, Unite Mixte de Recherche, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique 5175, Equipe BIOFLUX, CNRS, 1919, route de Mende, 34293 Montpellier Cedex 5, France
Ecology 90:1301-13. 2009
....
Stochastic species turnover and stable coexistence in a species-rich, fire-prone plant communityWilfried Thuiller
Laboratoire d Ecologie Alpine, CNRS UMR 5553, Universite Joseph Fourier, Grenoble, France
PLoS ONE 2:e938. 2007
....
Biodiversity: climate change and the ecologistWilfried Thuiller
Nature 448:550-2. 2007
Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in EuropeDagmar Schröter
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
Science 310:1333-7. 2005
....
Predicting extinction risks under climate change: coupling stochastic population models with dynamic bioclimatic habitat modelsDavid A Keith
NSW Department of Environment and Climate Change, PO Box 1967, Hurstville, NSW 2220, Australia
Biol Lett 4:560-3. 2008
....
Climate and land use change impacts on plant distributions in GermanySven Pompe
Department of Community Ecology, UFZ, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research UFZ, Theodor Lieser Strasse 4, 06120 Halle, Germany
Biol Lett 4:564-7. 2008
..It is anticipated that species with small ranges will be especially vulnerable to future climate change and other ecological stresses...
Incorporating the effects of changes in vegetation functioning and CO2 on water availability in plant habitat modelsSophie Rickebusch
Laboratoire d Ecologie Alpine, UMR CNRS 5553, Universite Joseph Fourier, BP 53, 38041 Grenoble Cedex 9, France
Biol Lett 4:556-9. 2008
..Potential habitats shrink significantly less for boreo-alpine and alpine species. Changes in vegetation functioning and CO2 on plant water availability should therefore be taken into account in plant habitat change projections...
Plant-trait-based modeling assessment of ecosystem-service sensitivity to land-use changeFabien Quétier
Laboratoire d Ecologie Alpine, UMR 5553 du CNRS, Universite Joseph Fourier, BP 53, F 38042 Grenoble, 09, France
Ecol Appl 17:2377-86. 2007
....