- A road map for integrating eco-evolutionary processes into biodiversity modelsWilfried Thuiller
Laboratoire d Ecologie Alpine, UMR CNRS 5553, Universite J Fourier, Grenoble I, BP 53, Grenoble Cedex 9, 38041, France
Ecol Lett 16:94-105. 2013..We hope such a perspective will motivate exciting and novel research, and challenge others to improve on our proposed approach...
- Variation in habitat suitability does not always relate to variation in species' plant functional traitsWilfried Thuiller
Laboratoire d Ecologie Alpine, UMR CNRS 5553, Universite Joseph Fourier, 38041, Grenoble Cedex 9, France
Biol Lett 6:120-3. 2010....
- Consequences of climate change on the tree of life in EuropeWilfried Thuiller
Laboratoire d Ecologie Alpine, UMR CNRS 5553, Universite Joseph Fourier, BP 53, FR 38041 Grenoble Cedex 9, France
Nature 470:531-4. 2011..However, losses will not be offset by gains and the tree of life faces a trend towards homogenization across the continent...
- Stochastic species turnover and stable coexistence in a species-rich, fire-prone plant communityWilfried Thuiller
Laboratoire d Ecologie Alpine, CNRS UMR 5553, Universite Joseph Fourier, Grenoble, France
PLoS ONE 2:e938. 2007....
- Are species' responses to global change predicted by past niche evolution?Sébastien Lavergne
Laboratoire d Ecologie Alpine, Universite Joseph Fourier CNRS, UMR 5553, 38041 Grenoble Cedex 9, France
Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 368:20120091. 2013..Thus, linking patterns of past niche evolution and contemporary species dynamics for large species samples may provide insights into how niche evolution may rescue certain lineages in the face of global change...
- Limited evolutionary rescue of locally adapted populations facing climate changeKatja Schiffers
Laboratoire d Ecologie Alpine, Universite Joseph Fourier, Grenoble 1, UMR CNRS 5553, BP 53, 38041 Grenoble Cedex 9, France
Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 368:20120083. 2013..These findings emphasize that neglecting the impact of non-climatic, local adaptation might lead to a considerable overestimation of a population's evolvability under rapid environmental change...
- Reconstructing the origins of high-alpine niches and cushion life form in the genus Androsace S.L. (Primulaceae)Florian C Boucher
Universite Joseph Fourier, Grenoble Cedex 9, France
Evolution 66:1255-68. 2012..l. We then propose a plausible scenario for the adaptation of plants to alpine habitats...
- Accounting for dispersal and biotic interactions to disentangle the drivers of species distributions and their abundancesIsabelle Boulangeat
Laboratoire d Ecologie Alpine, UMR CNRS 5553, Universite Joseph Fourier, Grenoble Cedex 9, France
Ecol Lett 15:584-93. 2012..This approach, at the crossroads between community ecology and biogeography, is a promising avenue for a better understanding of species co-existence and biodiversity distribution...
- Plant-trait-based modeling assessment of ecosystem-service sensitivity to land-use changeFabien Quétier
Laboratoire d Ecologie Alpine, UMR 5553 du CNRS, Universite Joseph Fourier, BP 53, F 38042 Grenoble, 09, France
Ecol Appl 17:2377-86. 2007....
- Interactions between environment, species traits, and human uses describe patterns of plant invasionsWilfried Thuiller
Laboratoire d Ecologie Alpine, CNRS, Universite Joseph Fourier, BP 53, 38041 Grenoble Cedex 9, France
Ecology 87:1755-69. 2006..This information is useful for assessing the extent to which the potential spread of recent introductions can be predicted by considering the interaction of their biological attributes, region of origin, and human use...
- Low connectivity between Mediterranean marine protected areas: a biophysical modeling approach for the dusky grouper Epinephelus marginatusMarco Andrello
UMR 151 Laboratoire Population Environnement et Développement, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement Université Aix Marseille, Marseille, France
PLoS ONE 8:e68564. 2013..This issue is even more critical given that the expected reduction of pelagic larval duration following sea temperature rise will likely decrease connectivity even more. ..
- Incorporating the effects of changes in vegetation functioning and CO2 on water availability in plant habitat modelsSophie Rickebusch
Laboratoire d Ecologie Alpine, UMR CNRS 5553, Universite Joseph Fourier, BP 53, 38041 Grenoble Cedex 9, France
Biol Lett 4:556-9. 2008..Potential habitats shrink significantly less for boreo-alpine and alpine species. Changes in vegetation functioning and CO2 on plant water availability should therefore be taken into account in plant habitat change projections...
- Tracking genes of ecological relevance using a genome scan in two independent regional population samples of Arabis alpinaBenedicte N Poncet
Laboratoire d Ecologie Alpine LECA, CNRS UMR 5553, Grenoble Université, BP 53, 2233 Rue de la Piscine, 38041 Grenoble Cedex 9, France
Mol Ecol 19:2896-907. 2010..Finally, we discuss that the genomic characterization of these ecologically relevant loci, as identified in this study, opens up new perspectives for studying functional ecology in A. alpina, its relatives and other alpine plant species...
- Predicting extinction risks under climate change: coupling stochastic population models with dynamic bioclimatic habitat modelsDavid A Keith
NSW Department of Environment and Climate Change, PO Box 1967, Hurstville, NSW 2220, Australia
Biol Lett 4:560-3. 2008....
- Climate change threats to plant diversity in EuropeWilfried Thuiller
Centre d Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique Unité Mixte de Recherche 5175, 1919 Route de Mende, 34293 Montpellier Cedex 5, France
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 102:8245-50. 2005..We found that risks of extinction for European plants may be large, even in moderate scenarios of climate change and despite inter-model variability...
- Global environmental change and the uncertain fate of biodiversity. Global Environmental Change and Biodiversity--a DIVERSITAS/Tyndall Centre/TERACC/QUEST-sponsored workshop, Dourdan, France, May 2005Guy F Midgley
Climate Change Research Group, SA National Biodiversity Institute, Kirstenbosch Research Center, Rhodes Drive, P Bag X7, Claremont 7735, Cape Town, South Africa
New Phytol 167:638-41. 2005
- Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in EuropeDagmar Schröter
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
Science 310:1333-7. 2005....
- Biodiversity: climate change and the ecologistWilfried Thuiller
Nature 448:550-2. 2007
- Introduction. Global change and biodiversity: future challengesPhoebe Barnard
Global Change and Biodiversity Programme, South African National Biodiversity Institute, Kirstenbosch Research Centre, Private Bag X7, Claremont 7735, Republic of South Africa
Biol Lett 4:553-5. 2008
- Climate and land use change impacts on plant distributions in GermanySven Pompe
Department of Community Ecology, UFZ, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research UFZ, Theodor Lieser Strasse 4, 06120 Halle, Germany
Biol Lett 4:564-7. 2008..It is anticipated that species with small ranges will be especially vulnerable to future climate change and other ecological stresses...
- Biodiversity conservation: uncertainty in predictions of extinction riskWilfried Thuiller
Centre d Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive, CNRS, 34293 Montpellier Cedex 5, France
Nature 430:1 p following 33; discussion following 33. 2004..6% to 78.6% extinctions), we find that two additional sources of uncertainty may substantially increase the variability in predictions...