Hiroshi Nishiura

Summary

Affiliation: The University of Hong Kong
Country: China

Publications

  1. ncbi Sample size considerations for one-to-one animal transmission studies of the influenza A viruses
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
    PLoS ONE 8:e55358. 2013
  2. ncbi Estimating the transmission potential of supercritical processes based on the final size distribution of minor outbreaks
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Level 6, Core F, Cyberport 3, 100 Cyberport Road, Pokfulam, Hong Kong PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Saitama 332 0012, Japan
    J Theor Biol 294:48-55. 2012
  3. ncbi Theoretical basis to measure the impact of short-lasting control of an infectious disease on the epidemic peak
    Ryosuke Omori
    Department of Biology, Faculty of Sciences, Kyushu University, 6 10 1 Hakozaki, Higashi ku, Fukuoka 812 8581, Japan
    Theor Biol Med Model 8:2. 2011
  4. ncbi Fever screening during the influenza (H1N1-2009) pandemic at Narita International Airport, Japan
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, 4 1 8 Honcho, Kawaguchi, Saitama 332 0012, Japan
    BMC Infect Dis 11:111. 2011
  5. ncbi Did modeling overestimate the transmission potential of pandemic (H1N1-2009)? Sample size estimation for post-epidemic seroepidemiological studies
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Saitama, Japan
    PLoS ONE 6:e17908. 2011
  6. ncbi Real-time forecasting of an epidemic using a discrete time stochastic model: a case study of pandemic influenza (H1N1-2009)
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, 4 1 8 Honcho, Kawaguchi, Saitama, Japan
    Biomed Eng Online 10:15. 2011
  7. ncbi Increased risk of noninfluenza respiratory virus infections associated with receipt of inactivated influenza vaccine
    Benjamin J Cowling
    School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong SAR, China
    Clin Infect Dis 54:1778-83. 2012
  8. ncbi Household transmission of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1): a systematic review and meta-analysis
    Lincoln L H Lau
    School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China
    Epidemiology 23:531-42. 2012
  9. ncbi The feasibility of age-specific travel restrictions during influenza pandemics
    Elson H Y Lam
    School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong, People s Republic of China
    Theor Biol Med Model 8:44. 2011
  10. ncbi The epidemiological and public health research response to 2009 pandemic influenza A(H1N1): experiences from Hong Kong
    Peng Wu
    School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Saitama, Japan
    Influenza Other Respi Viruses 7:367-82. 2013

Collaborators

Detail Information

Publications24

  1. ncbi Sample size considerations for one-to-one animal transmission studies of the influenza A viruses
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
    PLoS ONE 8:e55358. 2013
    ..The analyses are illustrated on transmission studies of influenza A viruses in the ferret model...
  2. ncbi Estimating the transmission potential of supercritical processes based on the final size distribution of minor outbreaks
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Level 6, Core F, Cyberport 3, 100 Cyberport Road, Pokfulam, Hong Kong PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Saitama 332 0012, Japan
    J Theor Biol 294:48-55. 2012
    ....
  3. ncbi Theoretical basis to measure the impact of short-lasting control of an infectious disease on the epidemic peak
    Ryosuke Omori
    Department of Biology, Faculty of Sciences, Kyushu University, 6 10 1 Hakozaki, Higashi ku, Fukuoka 812 8581, Japan
    Theor Biol Med Model 8:2. 2011
    ..As a first step to address this issue, we present a theoretical basis on which to assess the impact of an early intervention on the epidemic peak, employing a simple epidemic model...
  4. ncbi Fever screening during the influenza (H1N1-2009) pandemic at Narita International Airport, Japan
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, 4 1 8 Honcho, Kawaguchi, Saitama 332 0012, Japan
    BMC Infect Dis 11:111. 2011
    ..We aimed to retrospectively assess the feasibility of detecting influenza cases based on fever screening as a sole measure...
  5. ncbi Did modeling overestimate the transmission potential of pandemic (H1N1-2009)? Sample size estimation for post-epidemic seroepidemiological studies
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Saitama, Japan
    PLoS ONE 6:e17908. 2011
    ..Seroepidemiological studies before and after the epidemic wave of H1N1-2009 are useful for estimating population attack rates with a potential to validate early estimates of the reproduction number, R, in modeling studies...
  6. ncbi Real-time forecasting of an epidemic using a discrete time stochastic model: a case study of pandemic influenza (H1N1-2009)
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, 4 1 8 Honcho, Kawaguchi, Saitama, Japan
    Biomed Eng Online 10:15. 2011
    ..Real-time forecasting of epidemics, especially those based on a likelihood-based approach, is understudied. This study aimed to develop a simple method that can be used for the real-time epidemic forecasting...
  7. ncbi Increased risk of noninfluenza respiratory virus infections associated with receipt of inactivated influenza vaccine
    Benjamin J Cowling
    School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong SAR, China
    Clin Infect Dis 54:1778-83. 2012
    ..40; 95% confidence interval: 1.31-14.8). Being protected against influenza, TIV recipients may lack temporary non-specific immunity that protected against other respiratory viruses...
  8. ncbi Household transmission of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1): a systematic review and meta-analysis
    Lincoln L H Lau
    School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China
    Epidemiology 23:531-42. 2012
    ..During the 2009 influenza A (H1N1) pandemic, household transmission studies were implemented to better understand the characteristics of the transmission of the novel virus in a confined setting...
  9. ncbi The feasibility of age-specific travel restrictions during influenza pandemics
    Elson H Y Lam
    School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong, People s Republic of China
    Theor Biol Med Model 8:44. 2011
    ..Influenza is, however, strongly influenced by age-dependent transmission dynamics, and the effectiveness of age-specific travel restrictions, such as the selective restriction of travel by children, has yet to be examined...
  10. ncbi The epidemiological and public health research response to 2009 pandemic influenza A(H1N1): experiences from Hong Kong
    Peng Wu
    School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Saitama, Japan
    Influenza Other Respi Viruses 7:367-82. 2013
    ..The experiences of the research response in Hong Kong could provide a template for the research response to future emerging and reemerging disease epidemics...
  11. ncbi Excess mortality associated with influenza A and B virus in Hong Kong, 1998-2009
    Peng Wu
    School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China
    J Infect Dis 206:1862-71. 2012
    ..Although deaths associated with laboratory-confirmed influenza virus infections are rare, the excess mortality burden of influenza estimated from statistical models may more reliably quantify the impact of influenza in a population...
  12. ncbi Entry screening to delay local transmission of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1)
    Benjamin J Cowling
    School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People s Republic of China
    BMC Infect Dis 10:82. 2010
    ..After the WHO issued the global alert for 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1), many national health agencies began to screen travelers on entry in airports, ports and border crossings to try to delay local transmission...
  13. ncbi The virulence of pandemic influenza A (H1N1) 2009: an epidemiological perspective on the case-fatality ratio
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Saitama, Japan and Theoretical Epidemiology, University of Utrecht, Yalelaan 7, Utrecht, 3584 CL, The Netherlands
    Expert Rev Respir Med 4:329-38. 2010
    ....
  14. ncbi Transmissibility of seasonal and pandemic influenza in a cohort of households in Hong Kong in 2009
    Brendan Klick
    School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China
    Epidemiology 22:793-6. 2011
    ..The household secondary attack proportion (SAP) is commonly used to measure the transmissibility of an infectious disease...
  15. ncbi An analysis of national target groups for monovalent 2009 pandemic influenza vaccine and trivalent seasonal influenza vaccines in 2009-10 and 2010-11
    Sophia Ng
    School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China
    BMC Infect Dis 11:230. 2011
    ..To understand differential patterns of national target groups for influenza vaccination before, during and after the 2009 influenza pandemic, we reviewed and analyzed the country-specific policies in the corresponding time periods...
  16. ncbi Optimal design of intervention studies to prevent influenza in healthy cohorts
    Brendan Klick
    Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People s Republic of China
    PLoS ONE 7:e35166. 2012
    ..Influenza infections and illnesses can be identified through a number of approaches with different costs and logistical requirements...
  17. ncbi Pros and cons of estimating the reproduction number from early epidemic growth rate of influenza A (H1N1) 2009
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Honcho 4 1 8, Kawaguchi, Saitama, 332 0012, Japan
    Theor Biol Med Model 7:1. 2010
    ..The growth rate at the initial stage of the epidemic in Japan led to estimates for R in the range 2.0 to 2.6, capturing the intensity of the initial outbreak among school-age children in May 2009...
  18. ncbi Travel and age of influenza A (H1N1) 2009 virus infection
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Saitama, Japan
    J Travel Med 17:269-70. 2010
    ..01) reflecting age-specific travel patterns. Border controls should account for the high frequency of infection among adults...
  19. ncbi How is vaccine effectiveness scaled by the transmission dynamics of interacting pathogen strains with cross-protective immunity?
    Ryosuke Omori
    School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, People s Republic of China
    PLoS ONE 7:e50751. 2012
    ..e. vaccine and non-vaccine strains...
  20. ncbi Assortativity and the Probability of Epidemic Extinction: A Case Study of Pandemic Influenza A (H1N1-2009)
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Saitama 332 0012, Japan
    Interdiscip Perspect Infect Dis 2011:194507. 2011
    ....
  21. ncbi Estimation of the incubation period of influenza A (H1N1-2009) among imported cases: addressing censoring using outbreak data at the origin of importation
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Saitama, Japan
    J Theor Biol 272:123-30. 2011
    ..When the data generating process is similar to that among imported cases, and when the incubation period is close to or shorter than the length of exposure, accounting for these aspects is critical for long exposure times...
  22. ncbi Time variations in the generation time of an infectious disease: implications for sampling to appropriately quantify transmission potential
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency JST, 4 1 8 Honcho Kawaguchi, Saitama 332 0012, Japan
    Math Biosci Eng 7:851-69. 2010
    ..Mathematical properties of the generation time distribution in a heterogeneously mixing population need to be clarified further...
  23. ncbi [A robust statistic AC₁ for assessing inter-observer agreement in reliability studies]
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency
    Nihon Hoshasen Gijutsu Gakkai Zasshi 66:1485-91. 2010
    ..AC₁ adjusts chance agreement more appropriately than kappa and is regarded as a more useful measurement for assessing inter-observer agreement, especially when prevalence is small...
  24. ncbi Correcting the actual reproduction number: a simple method to estimate R(0) from early epidemic growth data
    Hiroshi Nishiura
    PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Saitama, 332 0012, Japan
    Int J Environ Res Public Health 7:291-302. 2010
    ..60 to 3.74, consistent with those based on the Euler-Lotka equation. The method also permits calculating the expected value of R(0) using a spreadsheet...